The Estate Tax and Charitable Giving
For more information, see the Americans for a Fair Estate Tax website.
The Estate Tax and Charitable Giving:
Policy Summary
Gary D. Bass and John S. Irons
OMB Watch
June 9, 2003
Policy Summary
The estate tax plays an important
role in the life of nonprofit organizations. A key aspect is the impact
of the tax on charitable giving, particularly in the form of bequests. One
way to lower the tax levied on an estate is through gifts to charity at the
time of death, since tax law permits an unlimited amount for charitable bequests
that directly reduce the estate tax owed.
Since even before President Bush took
office there has been a vigorous national debate around whether to repeal
the estate tax. The tax cuts that were enacted in 2001 included a number
of changes in the estate tax, including one year of full repeal of the tax
in 2010. But those changes are eliminated starting in 2011. This uncertainty
over the status of the estate tax means that there will be renewed debate
around permanent reform or repeal of the estate tax. This is especially
true in light of the administration's reported goal to reduce taxes every
year.
What would be the impact on charitable
giving if the tax is repealed?
- According to studies using data on IRS filings and a wide
range of econometric research, charitable giving at death is sensitive to
estate tax policy. Evidence supports the idea that people are aware of the
tax implications of charitable giving at death, and that they change their
giving patterns as a result of the estate tax.
- Results from the most comprehensive study on the subject
estimate that repeal of the estate tax would result in a drop in charitable
bequests ranging from 22 percent to 37 percent. In 2001, the estate tax
generated $16.2 billion in charitable bequests. Thus, repeal would have
meant a loss of between $3.6 billion and $6.0 billion in bequests in 2001.
In addition, there are reasons to believe that losses may be greater than
these estimates.
- The impact of this loss would have an uneven impact within
the nonprofit community. The largest share of bequests in 1998 went to private
foundations (42%) and to educational, medical and scientific institutions
(29%). Using these percentages, in 2001 bequests would be cut by between
$1.5 billion and $2.5 billion for foundations and between $1.0 billion and
$1.7 billion for educational, medical and scientific institutions.
- Besides making charitable bequests at death, many wealthy
individuals also reduce their annual tax liability through giving during
their lifetimes. Existing studies have concluded that repeal of the estate
tax will also have an adverse impact on annual charitable giving. At least
one key study pegged the impact on annual giving at a 12% drop among people
who would have otherwise faced the estate tax. Since the amount of annual
giving in the U.S. is much higher than that from bequests, the actual dollar
amount of this loss is potentially higher than the loss of bequest giving.
Recent estimates indicate that this decline in annual giving would amount
to an additional $5 billion over and above the $3.6 to $6 billion in lost
bequest giving, bringing the total annual reduction in giving to approximately
$10 billion.
- The reduction in giving to foundations would have a profound
impact. In most cases, gifts to foundations create sustained annual giving
to other organizations that increases over time. To replace the $10 billion
in charitable giving, you would need the equivalent grant making of 12 new
Ford Foundations or roughly $200 billion in new foundation assets assuming
the foundation provides a 5% payout. For nonprofits dependent on charitable
bequests, such as universities or arts and environmental organizations, this
represents a double loss. Not only will their actual bequests decline but
they will face decreased opportunity for funding through foundation grants.
- Besides these previously quantified effects of the repeal
of the estate tax on charitable bequests and annual giving, there are additional
factors that are likely to also have a significant negative impact on charitable
giving. These impacts arise because the estate tax will not just be reduced,
but will be eliminated altogether. For example:
- There will be a psychological impact created by a message
that charitable giving at death through estate tax incentives is no longer
encouraged.
- The estate tax benefit of charitable giving, which is a
“selling point” for charities, will no longer be available as an added incentive
for giving.
- The removal of the need for estate tax planning prior to
death lessens the opportunity to introduce potential givers to charities
and foundations. This decline in planning might also reduce giving in years
prior to death. The estate tax is partially responsible for creating an
industry that encourages giving for a multitude of reasons (including self
interest). Since giving is very concentrated (44% of the total charitable
bequests were donated by estates in excess to $20 million – the wealthiest
0.3%) those that give the most are less likely to do extensive estate planning
if the estate tax were repealed.
There is little doubt that repeal
of the estate tax will have a profound impact on nonprofit organizations.
One way nonprofits will feel this impact is through less charitable giving.
The Estate Tax and Charitable Giving
Gary D. Bass and John S. Irons*
OMB Watch
June 9, 2003
Summary
In this paper we examine the role
of the estate tax in people’s decision to leave money to charities. In general,
we find that there is much theoretical and empirical support for the notion
that an elimination of the estate tax will cause significant reductions in
charitable giving to nonprofit organizations. In 2001, the repeal would
have meant a loss of between $3.6 billion and $6.0 billion in bequests.
In addition, the repeal would have meant an additional $5 billion loss of
giving during the lifetime of people subject to the estate tax. The total
annual loss of charitable giving would thus be approximately $10 billion
per year. Finally, there are reasons to believe that losses may be greater
than these estimates.
Introduction
The estate tax plays an important
role in the life of nonprofit organizations. A key aspect is the impact
of the tax on charitable giving, particularly in the form of bequests. One
way to lower the tax levied on an estate is through gifts to charity at the
time of death, since tax law permits an unlimited amount for charitable bequests
that directly reduce the estate tax owed.
Since President Bush took office there
has been a vigorous national debate around whether to repeal the estate tax.
The tax cuts that were enacted in 2001 included a number of changes in the
estate tax, including one year of full repeal of the tax in 2010. But those
changes are eliminated starting in 2011. This uncertainty over the status
of the estate tax means that there will be renewed debate around permanent
reform or repeal of the estate tax. This is especially true in light of
the administration's reported goal to reduce taxes every year.
We first lay out some background
on the estate tax, and recent policy changes. We then examine why nonprofits
should care about estate tax policy changes. Foremost among these considerations
is a reduction in charitable giving that might accompany an elimination of
the tax. As such, we then examine who gives to charities through bequests,
and also which charities benefit from the estate tax.
Finally, we examine some evidence
as to the direction and the size of the estate tax effect on charitable giving
using a variety of data, and by examining the latest economic research on
the subject. We find that there is a significant potential reduction in
giving, approximately $10 billion, that would arise from an estate tax repeal,
and that there are reasons to believe that estimates cited in the literature
may be too small. Finally, we estimate what the effect of the charitable
giving reduction might mean for different categories of nonprofit institutions.
Background on the Estate Tax
The estate tax in this country has been around for nearly as long as the United
States has existed. During the early years the tax was activated during
times of war in order to raise additional revenue and suspended at other
times. Teddy Roosevelt, along with philanthropists such as Andrew Carnegie,
argued in the early 1900s that the estate tax should be made permanent, not
only as a source of government revenue but also to limit the accumulation
of inherited wealth within families to avoid the formation of a new aristocracy.
Eventually their argument carried the day and the estate tax, as we know
it today, was instituted in The Revenue Act of 1916.
Today, only between 1% and 2% of the
wealthiest decedents must pay any estate tax. As a result of the Bush tax
cuts enacted in 2001, the first $1 million of an estate is exempt from any
taxation; that amount rises to $3.5 million by 2009 (these exemptions are
doubled for a couple). To lower the size of an estate, an unlimited amount
can be transferred to the surviving spouse without any taxation. Additionally,
an unlimited amount can be given to charity – such as to establish a foundation
– to lower the estate for taxation purposes. Other types of deductions and
planning can be done to lower the size of the estate and reduce any subsequent
taxation. These provisions mean that while the total value of estates filing
taxes in 1998 was $174 billion, the total estate tax collected was only $20
billion, or about 12% of the total value.
The estate tax currently generates between
$20 billion and $25 billion in annual federal revenue. According to the Joint
Committee on Taxation, revenue from the estate tax is anticipated to be $63.6
billion in 2013.[1]
Similarly, the estate tax generates state revenue of roughly $6 to $7 billion
annually because many states are tied to the federal estate tax system. According
to the provisions of the 2001 tax cut law, the federal estate tax credit
for state estate taxes is phased out by 2004, effectively eliminating all
of that state revenue, which is estimated at a $9 to $10 billion loss by
2010.[2]
Conservatives and small business leaders
have been advocating full repeal of the federal estate tax for more than
10 years now. Not all small business leaders were uniformly in support of
full repeal. Some, such as the National Federation of Independent Businesses,
initially argued that the tax should be reformed, but not totally repealed.
However, by 1998, NFIB changed its position to advocating repeal of the estate
tax.[3]
From that point onward, a coordinated legislative agenda has been advanced
to repeal the estate tax. President Clinton stymied the repeal movement
by promising to veto any legislative effort to eliminate the estate tax.
With the election of George Bush,
those in favor of repeal were certain the time had surely come to get rid
of the estate tax. President Bush advocated repeal and his 2001 tax cuts
included a phase-out of the estate tax by gradually increasing the amount
of wealth exempted from taxation, gradually lowering the marginal tax rates,
and permanently eliminating the tax as of 2010. However, making the Bush
tax cuts, including repeal of the estate tax, permanent was not supported
by the required 60 Senators, and all of the provisions will expire at the
beginning of 2011, ten years after the tax cuts were passed. Repeal of the
estate tax, beginning January 1, 2010, will only last one year, until midnight
on December 31, 2010, and then revert to the law as it was before the Bush
2001 tax cuts were passed.
Pro-repeal forces tried again in 2002
to get permanent repeal of the estate tax, but fell a few votes short of
the 60 votes needed in the Senate. President Bush has included repeal of
the estate tax in his FY 2004 budget proposal, and both House and Senate
Republican leaders have identified repeal of the tax as one of the top ten
agenda items for this Congress. Moreover, given the on-again, off-again
nature of the tax, and the difficulty in estate planning under such conditions,
it is inevitable that the debate will continue until it is resolved one way
or the other – either repeal or reform.
Why Nonprofits Should Care
The nonprofit community has a huge stake in the estate tax. Repeal of the estate
tax would:
- Increase concentrations of wealth and power. The estate
tax is our most progressive tax and the only tax on accumulated wealth that
is passed from generation to generation. Our core democratic and economic
values include the promotion of fairness and social justice. The estate
tax is essential in protecting equality of opportunity and preventing the
concentration of wealth in the hands of a few families. The nonprofit sector
in the United States plays a significant role in advancing social justice
and equality of opportunity and so has a strong stake in preserving the estate
tax. In addition, one research study also showed that, per dollar in wealth,
wealthy entrepreneurs gave six times as much to charities as people who inherited
their wealth.[4]
- Reduce federal and state revenues. Loss of the federal
and state revenue that is generated by the estate tax will exacerbate cuts
in programs including those serving low-income and vulnerable families.
This comes at a time when federal and state spending is being cut enormously.
The budget resolution would cut federal discretionary spending by more than
4 percent over the next 10 years – and the impact on domestic programs will
likely be even more severe since they will be competing for limited resources
with military spending and homeland security costs, which are expected to
rise.
- Sharply curtail charitable giving. Since there are no
limits on the amount of money that can be left to charities – and since bequests
to private foundations are treated the same as those to public charities
– charitable giving is a powerful and attractive way to lower the taxed value
of the estate. The deduction for charitable bequests is the second largest
type of deduction taken, with 17% of all filers claiming a charitable bequest
on their tax returns, indicating that estate tax filers are well aware of
this provision. Only the deduction for a surviving spouse – also unlimited
– is larger. A variety of evidence and analysis shows that estate tax laws
influence the amount of charitable bequests. Some of that evidence is presented
below.
How Much Goes to Charities?
Over time, the amount of
money given through charitable bequests tends to increase. For example,
between 1995 and 2001, charitable bequests nearly doubled, going from $8.7
billion in 1995 to $16.2 billion in 2001. See Figure 1 “Charitable Bequests
By Year: 1995-2001.”
As intergenerational wealth
transfers are expected to increase over time, it is expected that the total
value of charitable bequests will also increase.
Who Gives Charitable Bequests?
Examining data from the IRS and other
sources demonstrates regular patterns in charitable giving, including:
- Individuals with greater
wealth claim a greater amount of charitable deductions. In addition,
a greater percentage of higher wealth individuals give to charity.
- Widows and widowers, along
with single families, give the largest portion of their estates to charity,
while those married with a surviving spouse give the least.
- There is little difference
across sex in estate giving patterns.
Income
As Table 1 (“Charitable Deductions
Claimed in Estate Tax Returns: 2001”), and Figure 2 (“Charitable Bequests
by Estate Size: 2001”) show, of the $16.2 billion given in charitable bequests,
the largest amount, $6.8 billion, comes from estates valued at $20 million
or more. In fact, 65% of charitable bequests come from the wealthiest 5.1%
of those filing estate tax returns – those with estates valued at $5 million
or higher. Figure 2 shows the percentage of charity given by each wealth
group.
Column 4, “% Claiming Charitable Deductions,”
and column 5, “Average Charitable Deduction,” are derived from IRS data.
Not surprisingly, these data clearly show that as the size of the estate grows,
so too does the size of charitable deductions. Column 4 further demonstrates
that the percent claiming charitable deductions grows with the size of the
estate, from 14.2% for estates under $1 million to 47.9% for estates valued
at $20 million or more. Column 5 shows a positive relationship between size
of estate and average size of the charitable deduction, from $135,000 for
estates under $1 million to $22.6 million on average for estates valued at
$20 million or more.
Table 1.
Charitable Deductions Claimed in Estate Tax Returns: 2001
($in Thousands)
| Size of Gross Esate |
# of returns |
# with Charitable Deductions |
% Claiming Charitable Deductions |
Total Charitable Deductions |
Average Charitable Deduction |
|
$600K but under $1 mil
|
45,459
|
6,463
|
14.22%
|
873,319
|
135
|
|
$1 mil but under $2.5 mil
|
47,300
|
7,844
|
16.58%
|
2,895,568
|
369
|
|
$2.5 mil but under $5 mil
|
9,893
|
2,484
|
25.11%
|
2,076,504
|
836
|
|
$5 mil but under $10 mil
|
3,550
|
1,151
|
32.42%
|
1,834,806
|
1,594
|
|
$10 mil but under $20 mil
|
1,282
|
468
|
36.51%
|
1,667,695
|
3,563
|
|
$20 mil or more
|
628
|
301
|
47.93%
|
6,802,127
|
22,598
|
|
Total
|
108,112
|
18,711
|
17.31%
|
16,150,018
|
863
|
Source: Estate Tax Returns
Filed in 2001: Gross Estate by Type of Property, Deductions, Taxable Estate,
Estate Tax and Tax Credits, by Size of Gross Estate. SOI Unpublished Data.
http://www.irs.gov/taxstats/article/0,,id=96442,00.html
Marital Status
Table 2, “Marital Status of Those Making
Charitable Bequests: 1998,” shows that widows and widowers account for more
than half of the 17,587 charitable bequests made in 1998. The largest bequest
amounts also come from widows and widowers – $9.5 billion or 63.5% of all
bequests in 1998. Conversely, estates comprised of married families gave
away the smallest portion of their net worth, 11.6%, when compared to the
marital status of other estates making charitable bequests and constituted
only 9.7% of all bequests in 1998. This stands to reason since an unlimited
amount can be bequeathed to the surviving spouse without taxation.
Estates comprised of single people gave
the largest portion of their estate to charity, 47.1%, than any other category
of marital status. Figure 3 (“Charitable Bequest By Marital Status: 1998”)
and Figure 4 (“Percentage of Net Worth Going to Charity by Marital Status:
1998”) summarize this information as well.
Table
2.
Marital Status of Those Making Charitable Bequests: 1998
($in Thousands)
|
|
Net Worth
|
Number of Bequests
|
Amount of Bequest
|
Average Bequest
|
Bequest As % of Net Worth
|
Share of All Bequests
|
|
Married
|
$12,598,467
|
2,977
|
$1,455,519
|
$489
|
11.6%
|
9.7%
|
|
|
Widow/Widower
|
29,757,130
|
10,403
|
9,504,982
|
914
|
31.9%
|
63.5%
|
|
Single
|
6,829,077
|
3,050
|
3,216,224
|
1,054
|
47.1%
|
21.5%
|
|
Separated or Divorced
|
2,648,548
|
1,157
|
796,794
|
689
|
30.1%
|
5.3%
|
|
Total
|
51,833,221
|
17,587
|
14,973,519
|
851
|
28.9%
|
100.0%
|
Sex of Decedent
There are no major differences between
male or female decedents in the amount that is given to charity. In 1998,
female decedents gave $7.8 billion and male decedents gave $7.2 billion.
Although female decedents gave more money, the amount per bequest is smaller
– $762,000 – than that given by male decedents – $974,000.
Table 3.
Sex of Those Making Charitable Bequests: 1998
($in Thousands)
|
|
Net Worth
|
# of Bequests
|
Amount of Bequest
|
Average Bequest
|
Bequest As % of Net Worth
|
|
Female Decedents
|
26,488,211
|
10,175
|
7,754,922
|
762
|
29.3%
|
|
|
Male Decedents
|
25,345,010
|
7,412
|
7,218,597
|
974
|
28.5%
|
|
Which Charities Benefit from
the Estate Tax?
In 1998, the largest dollar
value of charitable bequests went to private foundations: $6.4 billion or
42% of all charitable bequests. These bequests came from a relatively small
number, only 6%, of the total number of bequests. The largest number of
charitable bequests went to religious institutions (10,415), but these institutions
also received the lowest amount on average ($142,590 per bequest). See Table
4 “Charitable Bequests by Type of Recipient: 1998” below.
Table 4.
Charitable Bequests by Type of Recipient: 1998
($in Thousands)
|
Type of Recipient
|
Total Bequest $Amounts
|
% Share of Total Bequest Amounts
|
Average Amount Per Bequest
|
Number of Bequests
|
% Share of Bequests
|
|
Private Foundations
|
6,351,008
|
42.4%
|
3,635
|
1,747
|
5.6%
|
|
|
Educational, Medical or Scientific
|
4,322,327
|
28.9%
|
471
|
9,184
|
29.5%
|
|
|
Other
|
1,964,754
|
13.1%
|
265
|
7,417
|
23.8%
|
|
|
Religious
|
1,485,070
|
9.9%
|
143
|
10,415
|
33.4%
|
|
|
Arts & Humanities
|
655,782
|
4.4%
|
457
|
1,434
|
4.6%
|
|
|
Social Welfare
|
194,577
|
1.3%
|
204
|
955
|
3.1%
|
|
|
Total
|
14,973,518
|
100.0%
|
481
|
31,152
|
100.0%
|
|
Source: IRS, Statistics of Income, (2002).
On average, bequests to private foundations were $3.6 million each. Preliminary
data based on computations from estate tax returns filed in 2001 show a similar
trend. Bequests to foundations went up $54 million from 1998 data, and accounted
for 40% of all bequests. In contrast, in 1995, 31% of charitable bequests
went to private foundations.
A significant portion of foundation assets comes from estate revenues, particularly
from larger estates. Thus, it can be expected that repeal of the estate
would have a significant adverse impact on foundations. This would affect
the creation of new foundations or enlargement of existing foundation, and
it would inevitably have an impact on yearly giving by foundations to charities.
Educational, medical or scientific
institutions received $4.3 billion, and constituted the second largest number
of bequests – 9,184. The average bequest was $470,637, the second highest
average bequest, but nearly eight times smaller than the average gift to
a private foundation.
While there are fewer numbers
of bequests to arts and humanities organizations, such as museums and symphonies,
the average size approaches the amount given to educational, medical, and
scientific institutions. In 1998, there were 1,434 bequests, slightly less
than 5% of all bequests that were made. This generated $655.8 million.
The average bequest was $456,310, just below the average amount given to
educational, medical, and scientific institutions.
The “Other” category in the
figure above includes a range of social service organizations and other charities
that are not covered by the named categories. In 1998, estates provided
$1.5 billion to “other” charities in bequests. Based on the Treasury Department
data, it would appear that “social welfare” charities – those tax exempt
501(c)(3) organizations promoting civil rights, community development, social
science research, or government effectiveness – would see the smallest dollar
decline from the estate tax repeal. However, these groups are often heavily
dependent on private foundations for support. Since the estate tax has a
dramatic effect on the establishment and size of philanthropic institutions,
these types of charities are also significantly affected by the tax.
Estate Tax Repeal Would Affect Giving
If the estate tax were repealed, it
is unlikely that all of the $16.2 billion in charitable bequests from 2001
would end. Since the after-tax cost of a charitable bequest is lower than
the after-tax cost of bequests to heirs, there is an economic incentive to
leave charitable bequests; however, many people will continue to give to
charities regardless of whether there is a tax incentive.[5]
Nonetheless, it is very clear from available
studies that tax incentives help to stimulate certain behavior, including
charitable giving. The estate tax provides an important incentive for charitable
bequests.
The
evidence that estate giving is sensitive to estate tax laws includes:
- Greater contributions to charities over time as marginal
tax rates increased.
- Greater contributions to charities by those that cannot claim
spousal deductions, namely widows/widowers, and single decedents.
- Formal econometric research that shows estate tax law changes
do result in different levels of estate giving, as well as different giving
prior to death.
Increases over Time
Figure 7 (“Charitable Bequests as
a Percentage of Gross Estates by Decade”) shows the trend of charitable bequest
giving as a percentage of estates, as well as the marginal estate tax rate
faced by an average estate. In the 1920s, the estate tax rate on an average
estate was 3.3%, and the percentage of charitable giving was 4.1%. In the
1990s the tax rate increased to 45% and the percentage of charitable giving
nearly doubled to 7.4%.
While this evidence strongly suggests that the estate tax provides a strong
incentive to leave charitable bequests, it is not conclusive. Since there
may be other factors that influence the percentage of charitable giving which
might also have changed over time, we must use more sophisticated econometric
analysis to find the “pure” effect of the estate tax on giving. Such an
analysis is described below.
Married vs. Unmarried Filers
As discussed above and again illustrated
in Figure 8, “Charitable Bequests by Marital Status: 1998,” (repeated from
above), the largest bequest amounts come from widows and widowers – $9.5
billion or 63.5% of all bequests in 1998. Conversely, estates comprised
of married families gave away the smallest portion of their net worth – 9.7%
in 1998. This stands to reason since an unlimited amount can be bequeathed
to the surviving spouse without taxation. Estates comprised of single people
give the largest portion of their estate to charity – 47.1% – relative to
any other category of marital status.
Again, the data suggests that the estate
tax is a major incentive for giving. Those individuals that face the estate
tax – widows and widowers, and single decedents – give a larger percentage
of their estate to charities.
Econometric Research
While the evidence above is suggestive
of the idea that individuals who face an estate tax are likely to increase
their giving, more detailed study is needed to pin down the exact magnitude
of the effect.
There have been several econometric
studies looking at the impact that repeal of the estate tax would have on
charitable giving. Most find that the estate tax has a significant impact
on giving. The latest and most comprehensive is a forthcoming Brookings
Institution study by Jon Bakija, William Gale, and Joel Slemrod.[6]
This paper provides a thorough examination of existing research on the topic
as well as their own econometric analysis incorporating data from 1924 through
1998.
Using federal estate tax returns from
1924 through 1998 and a tax calculator that computes combined federal and
state inheritance and estate taxes for any year, state, or wealth level,
they were able to track estate tax rate changes over time and across states.
They used these differences in the tax rates to calculate the effects of
changes in the estate tax on charitable giving. Bakija and Gale then calculated
that repeal of the estate tax would cause a 22 percent to 37 percent drop
in total charitable bequests. Applying this finding to Treasury Department
data on the $16.2 billion in charitable bequests in 2001, this would mean
an annual drop of between $3.6 billion and $6.0 billion in charitable bequests.
In addition, the research estimates
the magnitude of reduction in giving in years prior to death by those likely
to be subject to the estate tax. Using estimates that the elimination of
the estate tax would reduce annual charitable giving during life by 12% among
people who would have otherwise faced the estate tax, Bakija and Gale find
an additional $5 billion decline in giving.
Taken together, the repeal
of the estate tax would thus reduce total annual giving to charities by an
estimated $10 billion. To replace the $10 billion in charitable giving,
you would need the equivalent grantmaking of 12 new Ford Foundations or roughly
$200 billion in new foundation assets assuming the foundation provides a
5% payout. According to the Foundation Center, bequests and gifts to foundations
totaled $28.7 billion in 2001. Thus, it would take 7 years of bequests and
gifts to foundations to make up for the one year of loss in charitable giving
caused by repeal of the estate tax.
Empirical Estimates are Likely Too Conservative
There
is overwhelming evidence from econometric studies that charitable giving
would be adversely affected by a repeal of the estate tax. The actual estimates,
however, are likely to be conservative. Most studies examining the effect
of the estate tax are based on small-scale differences or changes in tax
rates. When considering a larger change, such as the elimination of the
tax altogether, there are other, qualitative, factors that can also significantly
impact behavior that are not captured. For example, what will be the psychological
impact created by the message that charitable giving at death through estate
tax incentives is no longer encouraged?[7]
Moreover, in talking with estate tax
planners and fundraising professionals, many point out that the existence
of the estate tax brings both the opportunity to discuss the value of charitable
giving with potential donors and acts as a “selling point” to increase charitable
bequests. The Philanthropic Initiative[8]
conducted interviews with 150 financial advisors and surveyed an additional
500 advisors. Many estate planners indicated that the estate tax was the
only way to get their clients to consider charitable giving.[9]
Finally, moving to a new estate tax
“regime,” where there is a complete elimination of the tax, means that the
empirical estimates that are derived from only a small change in the tax
are likely to underestimate the total effect.
For this reason, and for the other
reasons mentioned above, the overall impact of a repeal is likely to be larger
than previously estimated. The only way to accurately find out these effects
is to repeal the estate tax and see what happens. We can’t afford to take
that risk, especially considering how difficult it would be to reinstate
the estate tax once it has been permanently repealed.
Which Charities Would be Affected the Most?
The impact of this reduction in giving
would not be uniform by type of recipient. For example, while religious
organizations receive the most number of bequests, they account for only
10% of the value of total bequests. Assuming that the percentage share of
total bequests by recipient generally is the same in 2001 as it was in 1998,
Table 5, “Impact of Repeal of Estate Tax on Charitable Bequests: 2001,” provides
the impact that an estate repeal would have on various recipients.
Table 5.
Impact of Repeal of Estate
Tax on Charitable Bequests: 2001
($in Millions)
|
Type of Recipient
|
% Share of Total Bequest Amounts
|
Size of Decline in Bequests, 2001
|
|
Private Foundations
|
42.4%
|
$1,511 – 2,541
|
|
Educational, Medical or Scientific
|
28.9%
|
1,030 – 1,732
|
|
Other
|
13.1%
|
467 – 785
|
|
Religious
|
9.9%
|
353 – 593
|
|
Arts & Humanities
|
4.4%
|
157 – 264
|
|
Social Welfare
|
1.3%
|
46 – 78
|
|
Total
|
100.0%
|
3,564 – 5,994
|
The largest dollar impact would be on
private foundations. Using the Bakija and Gale estimates, in 2001, private
foundations would have lost between $1.5 billion to $2.5 billion.[10]
This is the equivalent of starting a new foundation larger than the grantmaking
Carnegie Corporation of New York each year. Most foundations accrue net investment
income, thus sustaining ongoing grant-making each year. This means that
the impact of estate tax repeal would have a long-term impact on philanthropic
support of community activities, ranging from support for education to arts,
from environment to community development, and from research to advocacy.
In addition, the behavioral response
to the tax elimination is likely to differ across organizations. Since foundation
giving is more concentrated among the very wealthy – who are more likely
to respond to the tax incentive – the effect is likely to be greater than
stated above.
As mentioned above, repeal of the
estate tax would have a broader impact than just on bequests. According
to Bakija and Gale, research shows that changes in the estate tax have an
impact on annual charitable giving, although they caution that there is not
enough research on the topic, particularly in the context of the impact of
estate tax repeal. One key study by Auten and Joulfaian[11]
showed that estate tax repeal would result in annual giving dropping by 12
percent for those who would have to file estate tax returns. Since the amount
of annual giving in the U.S. is much higher than that from bequests, the
actual dollar amount of this loss is potentially higher than the loss of
bequest giving. Bakija and Gale estimate that this decline in annual giving
would amount to an additional $5 billion in lost annual giving across all
types of charities, doubling the impact on foundations and other charities.
Other Impacts Repeal of Estate Tax Would Have
on Nonprofits
While this discussion has been primarily
concerned with the impact on nonprofits of repeal of the estate tax because
of a reduction in charitable giving, it is worth reiterating the points made
earlier about the value of the estate tax in limiting concentration of wealth
in a few families and the loss of the state and federal revenue generated
by the estate tax. In FY 2002, the gift and estate tax provided $26.5 billion
in revenue to the federal government; in FY 2000, before the changes in estate
tax law occurred, it was $29 billion. According to the Joint Committee on
Taxation, in 2013, if the repeal of the tax were extended, the cost to the
federal government would be $63.6 billion.
Additionally, state revenues
will be affected by the tax changes that have already been made to the estate
tax. If states do not decouple state laws from the federal tax code, it
is estimated that repeal of the estate tax will cost states between $9 billion
and $11 billion per year. To avoid this cost, states would have to pass
their own, independent estate tax.[12]
Since roughly one-third of
charity revenue comes from government support, the repeal of the estate tax
would have a triple-whammy on charities. It would mean less money through
charitable bequests, reduced grants from private foundations, and less money
in government support.
Summary
In conclusion, charities and foundations
that rely in part on charitable bequests, as well as giving during life by
those subject to an estate tax, have an interest in maintaining a tax favored
status for bequests and other charitable giving.
There is a variety of evidence that
charitable giving would be greatly affected by the elimination of the estate
tax. In 2001, the repeal would have meant a loss of between $3.6 billion
and $6.0 billion in bequests. In addition, the repeal would have meant an
additional $5 billion loss of giving during the lifetime of people subject
to the estate tax. The total annual loss of charitable giving would thus
be approximately $10 billion per year.
According to the Foundation Center,
bequests and gifts to foundations totaled $28.7 billion in 2001. The $10
billion annual loss that would arise as a result of an estate tax repeal
would represent a potentially devastating impact on non-profits around the
country.
* For questions and comments, please contact John
Irons at jsirons@ombwatch.org, or 202.234.8494.
[1]
Under current law, the estate tax is gradually phased out by 2010, but then
reinstated for 2011 – hence revenue would be greater than zero in 2013, unless
a permanent elimination is passed.
[2]
This assumes that states do not decouple from federal laws or pass independent
state-level estate taxes.
[3]
It should be noted that only about 3% of taxable estates contain a business
or farm, and tax provisions allow payments to be spread over a number of
years.
[4]
Avery and Rendall (1990) Cornell University. This research supports the
contention made by Andrew Carnegie that it is better for societ