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OMB Watch Logo
July 26, 2004 Vol.5, No.15:   


Published: 07/26/2004

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Economy and Jobs Watch: Wages Fail to Keep Pace with Inflation

While many observers believe that the economy is in the process of recovering from weak growth and a dismal labor market, there is still considerable evidence that the recovery is not serving everyone.

Recent data shows that real average hourly wages for production and non-supervisory workers (about 80 percent of the population) have declined over the past several months -- reversing all of the gains since the end of the recession. (See graph below.)

Source: Economic Policy Institute, Economic Snapshot, July 16, 2004

The Economic Policy Institute attributes this decline to three factors: 1) a continuing weak labor market with unemployment stuck at 5.6%, 2) the new jobs created by the current economy appear to be lower quality jobs, and 3) a recent up-tick in inflation.

In addition, the share of gross domestic product (GDP) going to labor compensation is near 40-year lows. All this comes at a time when corporate profits are at record highs as a share of GDP.

For more information, see