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Home :  Federal Budget & Tax : 
Federal Budget & Tax:      News     Blog     Background    



Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Happy Birthday OMB Watch!

We'll be shutting down the BudgetBrigade a bit early today to head off to OMB Watch's 25th Anniversary celebration. Yup, that's right. OMBW is 25 years young this year and we're primed and ready for our quarter life crisis! We're taking some time to celebrate tonight with friends and supporters and remember 25 years of fighting for a more transparent and accountable federal government.

While we are looking back over some of our accomplishments of the last quarter century (and honoring the unsung work of some of our public sector colleagues), we are also looking forward to the challenges we'll face over the next 25 years and beyond.

You will be a key part of overcoming those future challenges, just as you've been crucial to our past accomplishments. Your involvement, along with hundreds of thousands of people just like you has helped to make us the success we are today. So thank you for your commitment to the open and accountable ideals that have helped guide OMBW over the past 25 years.

And if you want to help make sure those ideals continue to be realized, consider making a small donation to OMB Watch in honor of our 25th birthday. Your contribution will join with hundreds of others who want to ensure we are able to continue our mission and the important work we do everyday.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 02:16:51 PM



Tuesday, September 02, 2008

CBPP: Taxes on the Rich Don't Hurt Small Businesses

The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities released an analysis this past Friday afternoon examining the impact of tax cuts for high-income households. In particular, the analysis attempts to understand the impact those tax cuts would (or would not) have on small businesses.

CBPP used a broad definition of small business in their analysis when they looked at the impact of increasing the top two marginal tax rates, retaining the estate tax, and closing the carried interest loophole. The paper concludes:

Claims that changing the top income tax rates, maintaining a viable estate tax, or eliminating the carried interest tax loophole would harm small businesses are either exaggerated or empty. The data clearly show that only a very small proportion of small businesses are affected by these tax policies. (The carried interest rules may not affect any small businesses at all.) This is true even when one uses an overly broad definition of "small business" that classifies substantial numbers of high-income taxpayers as "small-business owners" because they receive some income from passive business investments.

BIG MISCONCEPTIONS ABOUT SMALL BUSINESS AND TAXES



Posted by Adam Hughes, 03:46:59 PM



Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Looking for Top Notch Interns!

The OMB Watch Fiscal Policy Program is looking for an intern for the fall of 2008. Yup, that's right. This is your chance to get in on the ground floor at one of the most dynamic nonprofit watchdog groups in Washington, DC. We're looking for energetic undergraduate or graduate students who have excellent writing, critical thinking, and communications skills, and who are dedicated to public policy and government accountability (see current intern Josh at right for example).

The internship is unpaid, but you'll have the chance to gain first hand experiences and take on significant responsibilities related to a number of different aspects of policy analysis in DC. Plus, you'll get a chance to write for the BudgetBlog - what could be better?

Interested? Learn more about the position and how to apply.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 05:56:02 PM



Monday, July 21, 2008

Claims of "Magical" Tax Cuts Continue

The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities has released a new report discussing the oft-cited, and completely false claim that tax cuts pay for themselves. Even though this statement has been refuted many times, by CBPP, by outside academics, and even by President Bush's own Treasury Department, the claim continues to float around.

CBPP does a nice job hammering home the facts again about the impact of tax cuts in a very digestible brief:

The claim that tax cuts "pay for themselves" — i.e., cause so much economic growth that revenues rise faster than they would have without the tax cut — has been made repeatedly in recent years and is one of the many tax policy issues that is likely to receive renewed attention in light of the upcoming election. As explained briefly below, this claim is false. The evidence shows clearly that tax cuts lose revenue.

CBPP: EVIDENCE SHOWS THAT TAX CUTS LOSE REVENUE



Posted by Adam Hughes, 02:49:11 PM



Friday, June 27, 2008

BudgetBlog on Hiatus for Holiday: Happy Fourth Everyone!

Happy Fourth of July!
Just wanted to let our loyal BudgetBlog readers know we're going on a short hiatus next week. With Congress heading out of town for a short summer recess and the upcoming Fourth of July holiday next week, the Fiscal Policy team is heading out of town in order to escape the heat for some well-deserved vacation. This means, though, that the BudgetBlog will be dormant next week.

But don't despair. Craig and I will return in one short week on July 7 to continue to bring you all the news, gossip, information, and analysis on federal fiscal policy you've come to expect.

Hope everyone has a safe and festive Independence Day next week - be careful with those fireworks.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 06:09:19 PM



Friday, March 28, 2008

CRS Report: Estate and Gift Tax Revenues: Past and Projected in 2008

There are a few noteworthy findings in this CRS report on the estate tax:

  • Estate tax repeal would account for over 25 percent permanent extension of the 2001-2003 Bush tax cuts
  • In 2006, 0.93 percent of deaths resulted in taxable returns. In 2002, that number was 1.86 percent.
  • Estate and gift tax revenues accounted for 1.0 percent of federal revenue in 2006 - a decrease from 1.4 percent in 2002.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 10:39:15 AM



Friday, March 14, 2008

Vota-Round-Up, I: State of the Estate Tax

Six votes on the estate tax were held during yesterday's budget resolution vote-a-rama in the Senate, as follows:

  • Baucus amendment 4160: makes 2009 estate tax law permanent -- exemption $7 million per couple; rate 45%. Paid for via a reserve fund from projected surpluses Approved, 99-1.
  • Graham amendment 4170: exemption per couple $15 million; 35% rate. Rejected, 47-52.
  • Kyl amendment 4191: exemption $10 million per couple; rate starts at 15%, top rate 35%. No offsets. Rejected, 50-50.
  • Kyl amendment 4372: protects small businesses, family ranches and farms by providing a $5 million exemption, a low rate for smaller estates and a maximum rate no higher than 35%. Rejected 48-50.
  • Salazar amendment 4196: exemption 10 million per couple; rate 35% -- paid for via a reserve fund from projected surpluses. Rejected 38-62.
  • Landrieu amendment 4378: $10 million per-couple exemption and a 35 percent rate, with a small surcharge for large estates and several special tax breaks for small businesses and family farms. Rejected 23-77.


Posted by Dana Chasin, 02:35:53 PM



Democrats Pass Budget in House & Senate

The House and Senate successfully passed their versions of the FY 2009 budget resolution yesterday. The House passed their spending outline on a mostly party-line vote 212 - 207 and the Senate passed their version early this morning 51 - 44 (roll call not available yet). Sixteen Democrats in the House opposed the budget along with all Republicans and in the Senate, Sens. Olympia Snowe (R-ME) and Susan Collins (R-ME) supported the budget, while Sen. Evan Bayh (D-IN) opposed it.

The House and Senate versions are similar in a number of areas, but the House blueprint is more fiscally responsible - strictly adhering to PAYGO rules by requiring offsets for mandatory spending increases and any additional tax cuts - particularly offsetting changes to the alternative minimum tax. Way to go House of Representatives!

There were tons of amendments in the Senate all through the day and night on key fiscal issues. We'll be dissecting the amendments and votes throughout the day today here on the BudgetBlog. Stay tuned!



Posted by Adam Hughes, 09:25:16 AM



Thursday, March 13, 2008

Estate Tax Madness

The Senate has officially gone over the the bad place. Three out of the first seven amendments to the FY 2009 budget resolution propose to make costly changes to the estate tax. While only one of them was adopted, unfortunately the breakdown of the votes showed less support for a rational, fiscally responsible reform to the estate tax.

Here's a quick summary of the amendments:

  • Sen. Max Baucus' (D-MT) amendment to use projected surpluses in 2012 and 2013 to extend popular middle-class tax cuts and make changes to the estate tax by extending the 2009 levels ($7 million exemption for a couple, 45 percent marginal rate) passed overwhelmingly 99 - 1.
  • Sen. Ken Salazar (D-CO) offered an amendment that would have likely increased the exemptions for the estate tax to $10 million per couple and drop the marginal tax rate to 35 percent. This amendment failed 38-62, but garnered 15 more votes from Democrats who, quite frankly, should know better, than it did last year when a simliar amendment was offered by Sen. Ben Nelson (D-NE), which received 25 votes.
  • Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ) offered an amendment that would make similar changes in the exemption levels and marginal tax rates as Salazar's amendment, but would not offset the tremendous cost of such an amendment - likely around $750 billion over the next ten years according to the Joint Committee on Taxation. Kyl's amendment failed by a 50-50 vote.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 02:29:29 PM



Tuesday, March 11, 2008

JCT Report on Alternative Estate Tax Systems

In advance of tomorrow's Senate Finance Committee hearing, Alternatives to the Current Federal Estate Tax System, the Joint Committee on Taxation has issued a report at once broad and brief, "Description and Analysis of Alternative Wealth Transfer Tax Systems," (JCX-22-08), March 10, 2008.

The report, which explores tax policy relating to various approaches to intergenerational wealth transfer, is detailed without being overly technical, is worthwhile reading for anyone interested in estate, inheritance, and gift tax systems. See: Report.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 11:41:30 AM



Wednesday, February 13, 2008

OMB Watch up for Online Advocacy Award

Do you like OMB Watch? Would you like to boost our fragile self-esteem? Then please vote for us in the Golden Dot Awards, presented annually for excellence in online campaigning by the Institute for Politics, Democracy & the Internet at George Washington University.

OMB Watch has been nominated for Best Issue Advocacy Blog. The nomination is for all three of our blogs: Advocacy Blog, Budget Blog, and Reg•Watch.

Vote here: polc.ipdi.org/GoldenDots/voting.htm

(OMB Watch has the utmost respect for the other candidates and has vowed to run a clean campaign.)



Posted by Matt Madia, 05:23:53 PM



Friday, January 11, 2008

Contact Us!

Questions, comments, suggestions, and glad tidings can now be directed to the BudgetBlog inbox at:

(In an effort to prevent spam, our contact address appears as an image and without a link to the address.)

Posted by Craig Jennings, 11:49:37 AM



Thursday, December 20, 2007

Congress Abandons Fiscal Responsibility

OMB Watch released a statement yesterday afternoon harshly criticizing the Democratically control Congress and the president for abandoning fiscal responsibility in the final hours of 2007 after they entire year was spent adhering to or attempting to adhere to righting our nation's fiscal course. From the statement:

Adding insult to a year of fiscal policy injuries, Congress has abandoned fiscal responsibility by waiving pay-as-you-go (PAYGO) rules in order to pass a one-year patch to the alternative minimum tax (AMT) without offsets. This tax cut adds another $50 billion to an already expanding deficit next year, and will give fewer options for our children and grandchildren to seek solutions to the problems of tomorrow.

While I expect as much from President Bush, this is a huge disappointment from the new Democratic majority in Congress whose number one promise was to uphold pay-as-you-go (PAYGO) rules. So much for promises:

This vote is particularly disappointing as Democrats have gone to great lengths this year to comply with PAYGO rules, particularly on spending. From student loan reforms to expansions of the State Children's Health Insurance Program and Food Stamps, Democrats have negotiated the turbulent fiscal waters of the federal budget responsibly, diligently, even courageously. That is why at this point, after all that work and sacrifice, the compromises and the concessions needed to construct balanced solutions to the AMT problem, it is unacceptable for them to abandon their stated principles of fiscal responsibility because they fear Americans will not accept paying up front for the services and benefits the country demands.

As the statement makes clear, there is plenty of blame to go around in Washington for this policy failure. What an awful way to end 2007.





Posted by Adam Hughes, 12:49:17 PM



Tuesday, December 18, 2007

IRS Budget Cut Below Already Insufficient Levels

The omnibus appropriations bill passed by the House last night contains 3,500 pages and over $516 billion in spending. Yet with all that space (and money), Congress could not find enough room for even their own priorities from earlier this year for the Internal Revenue Service (IRS). Specifics of the IRS's funding take from the omnibus show the House has included $2.15 billion for taxpayer services, down slightly from the $2.155 proposed earlier this year, $4.78 billion for enforcement (down from $4.93 billion) and $3.68 billion for operations (down from $3.77 billion). What's more, the House has backed away from a requirement for the IRS to develop a strategic plan to address the tax gap. The total IRS budget request ($10.89 billion) is $203 million below even President Bush's request!. What is going on here?

So, just to review, despite a year in which congressional hearings revealed that the IRS is underfunded, runs a dangerous and wasteful privatization program, and has no strategic plan for addressing the tax gap, Congress decided to give it less money, allow the privatization program to continue, and let the IRS off the hook for developing a strategic plan.

And I wonder why people don't believe in government...





Posted by Adam Hughes, 03:15:35 PM



Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Does The Estate Tax Make The Economy More Efficient?

Some interesting research (via Brad Plumer's blog) making the case that the estate tax actually makes the economy more efficient. Here's the abstract:

To what degree should societies allow inequality to be inherited? What role should estate taxation play in shaping the intergenerational transmission of welfare? We explore these questions by modeling altruistically-linked individuals who experience privately observed taste or productivity shocks. Our positive economy is identical to models with infinite-lived individuals where efficiency requires immiseration: inequality grows without bound and everyone's consumption converges to zero. However, under an intergenerational interpretation, previous work only characterizes a particular set of Pareto-efficient allocations: those that value only the initial generation's welfare. We study other efficient allocations where the social welfare criterion values future generations directly, placing a positive weight on their welfare so that the effective social discount rate is lower than the private one. For any such difference in social and private discounting we find that consumption exhibits mean-reversion and that a steady-state, cross-sectional distribution for consumption and welfare exists, where no one is trapped at misery. The optimal allocation can then be implemented by a combination of income and estate taxation. We find that the optimal estate tax is progressive: fortunate parents face higher average marginal tax rates on their bequests.

That's a complicated way of making a common-sense point: having lots of idle rich kids blow their parents' fortunes on parties and expensive shoes probably isn't an optimal use of finite resources. But, as far as I know, nobody really tried proving it in any rigorous way until now.

You could also say the same for dynastic political power (AKA the Bush family), which often goes hand-in-hand with dynastic wealth. That hasn't turned out "optimally."



Posted by Matt Lewis, 11:52:33 AM




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