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Home :  Federal Budget & Tax : 
Federal Budget & Tax:      News     Blog     Background    



Friday, May 16, 2008

Unions Boost Wages of Lowest-Income Workers the Most

Shawn Fremstad posted yesterday on a new paper released this month by John Schmitt over at the Center for Economic and Policy Research. The paper studies the impact unions have on income and has some interesting findings:

Using national data for 2003 through 2007, we estimate that unionization raises the wages of the typical low-wage worker (one in the 10th percentile) by 20.6 percent, compared to 13.7 percent for the typical worker (one in the 50th percentile), and 6.1 percent for the typical high-wage worker (one in the 90th percentile). The traditional statistical approach applied to the same data produces an estimate of the average union wage premium of 11.9 percent, which is substantially lower than the union effect on low-wage workers (20.6 percent) and somewhat below the effect for the median- wage worker (13.7 percent).

Read the full report.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 03:32:21 PM



Thursday, May 08, 2008

California City Declares Bankruptcy, Citing Housing, Economy

The New York Times reports today that the Vallejo (CA) City Council voted unanimously Tuesday night to declare bankruptcy in the face of dwindling tax revenues, the housing market meltdown and a faltering economy. Vallejo has 117,000 residents.

Given the steep decrease in property and sales taxes and transfer fees as a result of weakness in the housing market, municipal bankruptcy is "something that one hears about a lot more now," said John Quigley, a professor of economics at University of California, Berkeley. "And in California, you hear about a lot of cities being pushed to this sort of thinking by the housing crisis."

"We've been doing more with less forever," said Detective Mat Mustard, vice president of the Vallejo Police Officers Association, which opposed the bankruptcy declaration. "We're going to start losing people. Who wants to work for a company or a city that's bankrupt?"



Posted by Dana Chasin, 11:07:49 AM



Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Recessions Are Local

The BEA will release 1st quarter GDP figures tomorrow, and the BLS will release employment data on Friday. To be sure, these will be carefully-watched figures as the nation holds its breath waiting to see if we're moving closer to the R-word.

But these are national data, and it becomes easy to overlook the fact that some areas within the nation are currently in throes of economic turmoil. This morning's release of metropolitan employment data reminds us that, regardless of what happens in aggregate, many Americans are already living a recession.

Unemployment rates were higher in March than a year earlier in 309 of the 369 metropolitan areas, lower in 40 areas, and unchanged in 20 areas, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Fourteen areas, 12 of which are located in California, recorded jobless rates of at least 10.0 percent, while 9 areas registered rates below 3.0 percent. The national unemployment rate in March was 5.2 percent, not seasonally adjusted, up from 4.5 percent a year earlier.

In March, 45 metropolitan areas reported unemployment rates of at least 7.0 percent, up from 26 areas a year earlier, while 69 areas recorded rates below 4.0 percent, down from 128 areas in March 2007....Overall, 193 areas recorded unemployment rates below the U.S. figure of 5.2 percent, 163 areas had higher rates, and 13 areas had the same rate.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 10:37:57 AM



Friday, April 25, 2008

Federal Decisions Impact State Budgets

There were a slew of articles today from around the country about the impact of federal budget cuts on local communities, particularly for local education programs (see below). These articles detail the impact of cuts on a wide variety of programs and constituencies, from summer school to youth vocational education, from a rape crisis hotline to arts and music classes, from school counseling to early-reading instruction.

Many of these cuts are finally being felt at the local level, despite being approved by Congress up to a year ago. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities released a report last week stating that 20 states have made or proposed budget cuts that threaten vital services, including public health programs (13 states), services for the elderly and disabled (five states), K-12 education (nine states), and college and university programs (12 states).

The CBPP report has an excellent passage about the importance of federal assistance during economic downturns - particularly in supporting state level investments:

The federal government, which can - and arguably should - run deficits during troubled economic times, can help states minimize damaging budget cuts by providing assistance to the states, as it did in the recession in the early part of this decade. Federal assistance can lessen the extent to which states take these harmful, "pro-cyclical" actions and prevent budget cuts in vital services residents need.

Hopefully those in Congress who are crafting the FY 2009 budget resolution this week will remember their decisions on funding will have consequences for real people down the road. Hopefully they will make the choice to invest in our communities by restoring some federal funding in areas that have been drastically under funded the last few years and help the states support its services when people most need them.

Chicago Tribune: Federal funding cuts could devastate rape crisis hot lines
Chicago Daily Herald: Fox Valley jobs program, participants face tough times with budget cuts
San Diego Union Tribune: School board approves cuts to budget and loss of jobs
Charlottesville, VA: Madison Co. School Budget Cuts
Baltimore Sun: Lean budget proposal unveiled in Carroll
Arizona Republic: State universities await ruling on budget cuts



Posted by Adam Hughes, 10:13:50 AM



Monday, April 21, 2008

SCHIP Rules Imposed in 2007 Violated Law

The Government Accountability Office and the Congressional Research Service have concluded that rule changes imposed by the Bush administration on the State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP) in 2007 violated federal law: BNA reports:

In legal opinions released April 18, the Government Accountability Office and the Congressional Research Service said the SCHIP guidance is a rule for purposes of the Congressional Review Act (CRA) and so violates statutory requirements for congressional notice and review.

The Congressional Review Act was passed in 1996 and serves to keep Congress informed of rulemaking activities at federal agencies and makes sure those rules are submitted to Congress and the Comptroller General before they take effect. In this case, the SCHIP rules were published and used to deny a request by New York State to expand its SCHIP coverage to children from higher-income families (up to 250 percent of poverty, or $44,000 for a family of 3).

Unfortunately, $44,000 isn't a lot of money for a family of three in many parts of New York State, particularly NYC. Come to think of it, that isn't a lot of money for a family of three in many parts of the United States. Considering the prices of health care these days, restricting access to SCHIP for families in NY was an unfortunately decision from the Bush administration. This latest development gives some hope that it can be overturned.

Read the Opinions:
GAO Opinion
CRS Opinion

Posted by Adam Hughes, 09:37:46 AM



Thursday, April 17, 2008

More Fallout From Federal Budget Cuts

The Washington Post reported this morning that U.S. nuclear weapons labs are losing staff and not undertaking necessary and valuable research because of budget cuts. From the Post article:

The directors of the nation's three national nuclear weapons laboratories say that budget cuts by Congress and the Bush administration have reduced their ability to carry out scientific research needed to ensure the reliability of the nation's nuclear arsenal in future years.

Another example of the impact of budget cuts and years of underfunding important priorities. There isn't much fallout at this point from the lack of resources, but I think this is one area in particular we do not want to wait to see what happens.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 11:09:11 AM



Wednesday, April 09, 2008

DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- April 9, 2008

Health Care -- Bipartisan Support for Blocking Bush Medicaid Rule: CQ reports ($) that a House bill that would block the president's Medicaid rule changes is gaining support among Republicans. The proposed rule changes would shift about $17.8 billion (over five years) in Medicaid costs to states. The bill, H.R. 5613, will be marked up today in the Committee on Energy and Commerce Health Subcommittee.

War Spending -- Iraq Supplemental May Have Additional Stimulus Spending: After last week's deterioration of employment data released by the government, Sen. Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) and Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI), along with Democratic House leaders, are calling for adding extension of unemployment benefits to the upcoming Iraq war spending bill. House Republicans have vowed to oppose additional stimulus spending. CongressDaily ($)

Inequality -- CBPP/EPI: Income Inequality Continues to Rise: The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities and the Economic Policy Institute have released a lengthy report analyzing state-by-state data on income trends. The report concludes that "The gap between the richest and poorest families...grew significantly in most states over the past two decades...In fact, the nation's longstanding trend of growing inequality accelerated since the late 1990s as incomes fell for poor families in a number of states." CBPP/EPI Report Executive Summary

Taxes -- "Extenders" Package Could Move Before End of May: Sen. Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D-MT) hopes to introduce, mark up and bring the extenders package of tax cuts to the Senate floor before the start of the Memorial Day Recess in May. The legislation would be fully offset, cover two years (2008 and 2009), and cost about $50 billion. Baucus would not pin down a date for introducing the measure, but stressed the need to get work done early: "We've got to do as much as we can during this work period." BNA ($)



Posted by Adam Hughes, 09:27:00 AM



Tuesday, March 04, 2008

Impact of Fed Budget Cuts in GA Hits Home

The Macon Telegraph ran an article yesterday about how federal budget cuts are imperiling a drug/violent crime prevention program called the Edward Byrne Justice Assistance Grant Program. This program gives grants to states to establish state and regional drug task forces that form partnerships between area sheriffs offices and local police departments. And the program has been particularly successful in Georgia. Sen. Saxby Chambliss, who is a strong supporter of the grants, released data showing multi-jurisdictional drug task forces in Georgia made about 5,600 drug arrests and seized nearly $50 million in drugs during the 2006-07 budget year. (Not surprisingly, because it is a block grant program, the administration's PART tool concluded the program could not demonstrate results. hmmm....)

Despite its successes and strong support from local law enforcement, the program has regularly seen its budget cut, and next year the Georgia state drug task force will see more cuts of over 40 percent. Other offices receiving funding, such as the Criminal Justice Coordinating Council in Georgia, have seen even larger cuts in the past few years. From the Telegraph article:

Molly Perry, director of the Criminal Justice Coordinating Council, said the federal money her agency distributes to the drug task forces in the state has been reduced drastically over the years despite the program's success.

"We got $13 million five years ago," Perry said. "It was $8.5 million last year. We're expecting it to be $2.8 million this year. That's the lowest it's ever been. That's a two-thirds cut."

Local law enforcement have repeatedly advocated in front of Congress to sustain or increase funding for the program - cited by many in Georgia to be essential to their drug and crime prevention efforts. Monroe County Sheriff John Cary Bittick, who is a past president of the National Sheriffs Association, was on Capitol Hill again this past January, continuing the effort to save funding for the program.

"We are trying, along with 25 other law enforcement groups, to get the funding back in," said Bittick, who serves as the chairman of the National Sheriffs Association Congressional Affairs Committee. "I think if we don't get (the funding) in the supplemental budget, there's a very good chance that there will be a year where some of the small task forces may have to drop out. That would mean huge swaths (of the state) not covered by a task force."

Macon Telegraph: Cuts may threaten anti-drug program



Posted by Adam Hughes, 10:07:49 AM



Monday, March 03, 2008

More Tax Cuts to Save State Economies?

A new report out from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities last Friday explores the use of economic stimulus packages (i.e. tax cuts) at the state level, which have been proposed in seven states. CBPP concludes tax cuts are not an effective economic stimulus at the state level, and may in fact hurt state economies. From the report:

Policymakers in many states are proposing tax cuts or rebates that they hope will "stimulate" their state economies, often citing the federal stimulus bill as both a model and a reason to support such a plan. Leaders have issued such proposals in Alabama, Arizona, Connecticut, Florida, Illinois, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, among others. But state tax cuts would do little or nothing to boost a state's economy. In fact, they reflect a misunderstanding of how state governments can best respond to a recession.

The report outlines six recommendations for actions states can take to boost their economies.

CBPP: FISCAL STIMULUS AT THE STATE LEVEL





Posted by Adam Hughes, 09:01:04 AM



Monday, February 25, 2008

State Budgets Getting Worse and Worse and Worse...

The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities continues to churn out updates to their analysis first released in January detailing the increasingly poor state of state budgets around the country, and things are not getting better. The most recent update adds one more state (Oklahoma) to the list of states facing a budget crunch in 2009. Now there are 21 states that are projecting budget gaps in 2009. The updated summary stats from CBPP:

More than half of states anticipate budget problems, according to this updated analysis of state fiscal conditions.
  • 21 states now project budget gaps for 2009. Oklahoma joins this list.
  • The combined budget shortfall for these 21 states is now at least $36 billion due to changes in the estimates for California and Illinois, and the addition of an estimate for Oklahoma.
  • 4 states say they will have 2009 deficits, but have released no further information. Oklahoma leaves this list because it has now released an estimate.
  • 3 other states project budget gaps for 2010 and beyond.

CBPP: 21 STATES FACE TOTAL BUDGET SHORTFALL OF AT LEAST $36 BILLION IN 2009





Posted by Adam Hughes, 07:59:58 PM



Thursday, February 21, 2008

Economic State Misery Snapshot
Rankings of Jobless Claims and and Home Foreclosures

Joblessness:

  • the five states with the largest increases in initial jobless claims for the week ending Feb. 15 were: California, (+7,857), Kentucky (+4,166), Illinois (+1,955), Georgia (+1,009), and Massachusetts (+501)
  • the five states wth the largest decreases were: Ohio (-2,752), Wisconsin (-2,232), North Carolina (-1,746), Pennsylvania (-1,608), and Florida (-1,410)

Homelessness:

  • the five states with the highest per capita home foreclosure rates in 2007 were: Nevada (one in 278 households), Colorado (345), Florida (382), Georgia (424), and Michigan (455)
  • the five states with the lowest per capita foreclosure rates were: Vermont (294,384), Maine (72,432), Wyoming (27,246), North Dakota (16,093), and West Virginia (15,195)

Georgia is the highest-ranking state on the combined misery index, ranking fourth worst by both measures.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 12:53:16 PM



Monday, February 11, 2008

Bush Budget Continues to Disappoint

President Bush's FY 2009 budget continues to receive poor reviews into its second week. We reviewed a number of those reactions last week (see our summary posts here and here), and below are some additional disappointed reviews:





Posted by Adam Hughes, 12:20:59 PM



Thursday, February 07, 2008

More Reactions/Analysis of President's Budget

More reactions and analysis of the president's budget have emerged since our first round-up post on Tuesday:

There have also been a number of statements and analyses circulated from Capitol Hill:





Posted by Adam Hughes, 11:31:41 AM



Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Specific Budget Cuts That Have No Future

After we pointed out a number of proposed budget cuts that are going nowhere, there have been a few news articles this week about other specific budget cuts proposed by President Bush in his FY 2009 budget that we missed. These also have about a zero percent chance of being enacted by Congress. Those proposed cuts include:

  • Corporation for Public Broadcasting: Bush would cut 50 percent of the CPBs $400 million budget in FY 2009 and cut $220 million from the $420 million already planned for 2010. (See NYT: Public Broadcasters Prepare to Fight Federal Budget Cuts)

  • Appalachian Regional Commission: Bush would cut the federal portion of the ARCs budget by 11 percent, dropping it from $73 million to $65 million in FY 2009. Congress has already authorized much higher amounts for the ARC (House - $85 million, Senate - $102 million), which runs grant programs to boost access to housing, health care, the Internet and other services in a 13 state, 410-county area. (See CQ ($): Congress Unlikely to Accept Cuts to Appalachian Development Panel)





Posted by Adam Hughes, 01:39:14 PM



Thursday, January 31, 2008

More Bad News for State Budgets

It seems things are getting worse out in the states, almost by the day. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities has released another update of their analysis first released last week, adding one more state (Illinois) to the list of states facing a budget crunch in 2009. Now there are 20 states that are projecting budget gaps in 2009. The updated summary stats from CBPP:

More than half of states anticipate budget problems, according to this updated analysis of state fiscal conditions.
  • 20 states now project budget gaps for 2009. Illinois joins this list.
  • The combined budget shortfall for these 20 states in 2009 is now at least $34 billion.
  • 5 states now say they will have 2009 deficits, but have released no further information.
  • 3 other states project budget gaps for 2010 and beyond.

CBPP: 20 STATES FACE TOTAL BUDGET SHORTFALL OF AT LEAST $34 BILLION IN 2009





Posted by Adam Hughes, 04:11:25 PM




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