Register to Vote: Rock the Vote, powered by Credo Mobile

HOME

ABOUT US

OUR ISSUES

Information & Access

Nonprofit Advocacy

Regulatory Policy


PRESS ROOM

ACTION CENTER

PUBLICATIONS

THE WATCHER

OUR BLOGS


SIGN UP

Receive news, updates, and alerts!

DONATE

Help support our work


OTHER SITES

FedSpending.org

RTK NET

NPAction

Working Group on Community Right-to-Know

Citizens for Sensible Safeguards

Open the Government

OMB Watch Logo

Demanding a federal budget that is fair, responsible, and meets our nation's priorities

Home :  Federal Budget & Tax : 
Federal Budget & Tax:      News     Blog     Background    



Thursday, May 31, 2007

More on the Inherent Superiority of Government

A follow-up post to the one on Bryan Caplan's assault on government: I think I may have confused what normal people mean by efficiency with what economists mean by efficiency- that is, an efficient decision is one whose benefits exceed both the opportunity and out-of-pocket costs. Caplan, I presume, means that government services let people consume irrationally. People don't have to pay for the service, so they consume more than they would otherwise. This is irrational, I guess.

The Kevin Drum point, which is a good one, is that irrational consumption isn't necessarily bad. People should get some extra stuff, because we should all want the same if we were in that position and the richest country in the world can and should be a decent one.

I'm still struggling to push this debate further- that government services aren't necessarily "overconsumed" because people don't pay for them.

This is the anti-government, pro-market ideology in a nutshell- government is inefficient but nice, the market is cruel but builds character and is good for you. It's the Daddy market and the Mommy state, if you will.

The problem is it doesn't square with reality. It's false. Government services can be much more efficient than the market. Our health care system is the case in point. Nearly every other system in the world is cheaper and more effective, and nearly every other system has more government involvement. Pretty significant correlation, don't you think?

But it's also that the dreaded "moral hazard" factor is not decisive in driving up health care costs. Moral hazard the term economists use for when people do risky things, or overconsume, because they don't have to pay for it. Economists think that health insurance encourages this kind of behavior.

This great article takes down this argument better than I can. The point is that health care is different- people inefficiently consume because they're following medical establishment's advice, not just because they have insurance.

Health care doesn't lend itself to efficient provision in decentralized markets, because markets give too much power and bad incentives to medical professionals. Government could do it better.



Posted by Matt Lewis, 11:45:07 AM



Wednesday, May 30, 2007

Would Soldiers Really Have Run Out of Funding?

From the Hill:

"No American troop will go without … just so the most liberal activists in the country can be quieted," said a senior House Democratic aide. "If it means Democrats in Congress get tea bags and hate mail, so be it — we will not be irresponsible with the lives of our troops."

I have to call a spade a spade here- that reasoning is a total cop-out and disingenous. This CRS report- distributed to every single congressional office, and presumably read by the ever-so-responsible aide who's quoted here, shows that further delays would not have put soldiers in danger. CRS found that the Army had many options to stretch their funding well into the summer, including invoking the Feed and Forage act, which has been used in the past to finance operations while Congress worked on supplemental appropriations bills.

I've pasted below the fold the section of the report that's most important, and added some bolding.



CRS Excerpt...

Posted by Matt Lewis, 03:07:16 PM



Thursday, May 24, 2007

This Too Shall Pass
House Approves Minimum Wage Increase

Largely overlooked in the month-long test of wills between the White House and Congress over the war supplemental is the fact that, at long last (about a decade), an increase in the federal minimum wage will almost certainly be signed into law in the next 24 hours.

It was included as part of the $22.2 billion supplemental package of domestic and security-related items not requested by President Bush. It passed the House moments ago, 348-73

The wage package, which phases in an increase to $7.25 an hour from $5.15 over two years, is accompanied by a $4.8 billion package of business tax cuts that are fully offset.

And this just in:

By a vote of 280-142, the House has approved the largest emergency supplemental appropriations in American history, providing approximately $100 billion in (mostly) war and (modest) domestic spending. The top four members of the senior House Democratic leadership voted for the bill except Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA).



Posted by Dana Chasin, 07:17:23 PM



House Supplemental Vote Expected Tonight amid Weary Reversals

Weary war opponents in Congress will get to go back home soon, get some rest, and then face what might be a bigger headache than George Bush: the majority of Americans that disapproves of President Bush's decision to veto the first supplemental, which called for complete withdrawal of U.S. soldiers from Iraq by March 31, 2008.

The new $120 billion supplemental war spending bill -- stripped of all references to troop withdrawal -- is expected to pass the House this evening after lawmakers made last-minute changes dictated by the White House.

Weary anti-warrior Rep. David Obey (D-WI) said from the well of the House today:

We made a number of changes in response to White House requests as late as 10 o'clock last night.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) confirmed that the White House had insisted on terms if the bill was to escape a presidential veto. We're talking some really minor terms here -- like disallowing transfer to the Senate's Employee Child Care Center of proceeds from the sale of holiday ornaments by the Senate Gift Shop.

You say "Jump," and I'll say, "Gladly! How low?"



Posted by Dana Chasin, 04:12:26 PM



Why the Rush to Clear the War Appropriations?

As regards the war funding bill, Democrats are fatigued. So here's a word of non-partisan strategic advice- take a breather. Relax. Just do nothing for while and see if events on the ground change the politics back home.

Anyway, it now seems that Democrats just don't want this fight. From CQ:

"The problem is that we have to provide money for the troops, and if we don't, the Democrats will be blamed," added Rep. James P. Moran, D-Va., a war opponent. "Bush has the bully pulpit, so he will define who is responsible."

Incorrect- there's plenty of funding for soldiers. The authority granted by the Feed and Forage Act is only one of a good number of options the Defense Department has to maintain troops in the field absent a re-up in appropriations. The most important one seems to be using its authority to transfer funds between accounts- in other words, taking money from one part of the budget and putting it in another. CRS has found that using the transfer authority alone could provide enough funding to keep the military supplied through most of July.

If the transfer authority is used in combination with the Feed and Forage authority, DOD would probably have enough funding to last until August, though i haven't done the math. How long it would last depends on how Defense interprets the Feed and Forage Act- and I'm not quite sure how they would. But even the narrowest interpretation would give DoD a massive infusion of funding.

Maybe Moran's right about how Bush would respond, and how hard it would be to rebut him. I don't know. It just seems that confrontation is inevitable, but maybe this is the wrong time. Who knows. But it won't be Congress's fault if the war effort isn't funded, as the President has alternative means, and somebody will probably have to make that case if Congress is to shape war policy within this President's term.



Posted by Matt Lewis, 10:32:34 AM



Tuesday, May 22, 2007

Supplemental Update: The Troops on the Hill Weary

A pared-down version of the war funding supplemental is currently scheduled to hit the House floor on Thursday, May 24, with Senate action expected later that day or early the next. The bill appears likely to include the federal minimum wage increase and and extension of about $4.8 billion in small-business tax cuts. Whether domestic emergency appropiations will remain is yet to be determined.

But timetables, benchmarks and other restrictions or conditions on war funding or soldiers' redeployment will probably be left out. Congress' battle with the White House over withdrawal of soldiers will apparently live to be fought another day -- possibly when the House and Senate's respective defense authorization bills are taken up.

Why this turn of events? Possible explanation offered by a Democratic aide: "I think Mr. Obey is fatigued by the process."



Posted by Dana Chasin, 07:40:01 PM



Friday, May 18, 2007

The Problem With Democracy

American Enterprise Institute's Director of Economic Policy Studies Kevin "Dow 36,000" Hasset believes that democracy poses a threat to the economy(emphasis mine):

But being unfree may be an economic advantage. Dictatorships are not hamstrung by the preferences of voters for, say, a pervasive welfare state.

So the future may look something like the 20th century in reverse. The unfree nations will grow so quickly that they will overwhelm free nations with their economic might. The unfree will see no reason to transition to democracy.

Meanwhile, democracies may copy many of the market-friendly policies of the dictatorships, but it seems unlikely that free citizens will choose to reduce their own political freedoms.

Democracies will stay in the game, but, as Arrow showed long ago, their victory is not assured.

"I would've gotten away with it too had it not been for those meddling voters!"


Posted by Craig Jennings, 10:05:56 AM



Thursday, May 17, 2007

CBPP On Appropriations Cap

CBPP has a very good piece on the new budget resolution's appropriations cap (emph. mine).

The Congressional budget plan assumes that funding for non-defense appropriations for 2008 will be increased by $13.5 billion, or 3.1 percent, above the CBO baseline level, which equals the 2007 funding level, adjusted only for inflation. (See Table 1.) President Bush's budget, in contrast, calls for non-defense funding to be cut $9.7 billion, or 2.2 percent below the CBO baseline.

A 3.1 percent funding increase is not especially large, and with this increase, 2008 funding for non-defense appropriations would remain modest by recent historical standards. When inflation and population growth are taken into account, funding for non-defense appropriations in 2008 under the new budget plan would be below the levels of funding provided in 2002, 2003, 2004, and 2005. The 2008 funding level would be more than 6 percent below the level reached in 2004, after adjusting for inflation and population growth.[2] (See Figure 1 on page 3.)

This is what the President is all worked up about? Please.



Posted by Matt Lewis, 10:09:49 AM



Wednesday, May 16, 2007

Some Concrete Costs of the War Debate

It's taking a while for Congress and the President to work out their differences over the war funding bill. This wait isn't harming the troops, but it is costing people money.

That's because there's a minimum wage raise attached to the war funding bill. It raises it from $5.15 to $5.85 60 days after enactment, and then to $6.15 a year after enactment, and $7.25 after two years.

If the minimum wage bill had been enacted when the House passed it in January, a minimum wage worker who worked 40 hours a week would have made $280 more this year (by my rough calculations). If it had been enacted when the Senate passed it, the same worker would have made $168 more. And if it had been enacted when the House and Senate finally agreed to the same tax package to attach to the minimum wage bill, the worker would have $84 more.

All that might not sound like a whole lot of money, but it's the marginal dollar that can make the difference between wonder or whole wheat bread on a sandwich, or between vegetables or no vegtables for dinner, or between drinking soda or orange juice, if you're working minimum wage.

My calculations here aren't meant to be exact, but the point is that this debate is costing people serious money that won't be recovered. It'd be nice if somebody figured out a way for that not to happen.



Posted by Matt Lewis, 05:49:30 PM



Friday, May 11, 2007

New Report on Abusive and Wasteful Contracting Practices

In a new report to be released next Monday, the Center for American Progress details the horrendous state of the federal contracting process. The report examines what is presently known about the potential size and scope of wasteful and corrupt contracting within the federal government, provides the new Congress with useful guidance for developing a broader understanding of the problem, and outlines some steps that might be taken to restore greater transparency and accountability to the use of public funds in the procurement process.

The Washington Post reported this morning on the steep rise in non-competed, or no-bid contracts over the last 6 years - something we've noted using data from FedSpending.org. In fact, between FY 2000 and FY 2005, contracts that were not competed have increased over 110 percent, and contracts that had open competition but received only one bid have increased over 119 percent.

What's more, The Hill newspaper reported today that Henry Waxman, the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee chairman, is widening his investigations into contracting abuse at the Pentagon. Seems like the Center for American Progress report is coming out at just the right time.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 01:43:28 PM



GAO Scrutinizes IRS's FY 2008 Budget Request

Internal Revenue Service is requesting $7.2 billion for enforcement activities in its FY 2008 budget request. Money to pay for initiatives to close the tax gap sounds like a great idea, but how well will the initiatives accomplish this goal? IRS isn't exactly clear on this point in its budget request.

From a GAO report released Wednesday:

[T]he justifications for initiatives varied in the information they provided, with some lacking basic descriptive, cost, and expected performance information suitable for assessing them. For example, an initiative to determine the impact of taxpayer service on compliance lacked information such as a problem statement and an explanation of estimated costs.

...

[T]he initiative for improving compliance estimates provided no explanation of how the 258 FTEs were determined or basic information on the work such as the number of examinations to be conducted. Without such information, at the end of the fiscal year, Congress would be unable to tell whether IRS spent the money as intended.

Yesterday we mentioned that acting IRS Commissioner Kevin Brown doesn't know how cost effective private tax collection would be, and yet he he thinks its something IRS should do. Today, we find out IRS wants to spend big bucks on enforcement initiatives without having a good idea of how effective they will be. What's going on over there?



Posted by Craig Jennings, 12:03:08 PM



Wednesday, May 09, 2007

Which Way Did the Veto Go? Both Ways!

Just so there's no confusion, here are details and status for H.R. 2206 and 2207, the two post-veto Supplemental bills emerging from the House, both facing likely votes this week and potential presidential vetoes thereafter:

  • H.R. 2206, "The U.S. Troop Readiness, Veterans' Care, Katrina Recovery, and Iraq Accountability Appropriations Act, 2007." Introduced by Rep. David Obey (D-WI), expected to be voted on as early as tomorrow; the president promised today to veto this bill.
    • the bill provides $42.8 billion in fiscal 2007 war funding upon enactment, but it would require another vote in late July to release the remaining $52.8 billion for the fiscal year that ends Sept. 30. Among the president's objections to H.R. 2206, WH spokesperson Tony Snow cited "restrictions on funding, and there are also some of the spending items that were mentioned in the first veto message that are still on the bill," referring to small business tax package and an accompanying minimum wage increase. The Senate has not scheduled a vote on the bill.
  • H.R. 2207, "The Agricultural Disaster Assistance and Western States Emergency Unfinished Business Appropriations Act, 2007. Also introduced by Rep. David Obey. President Bush has also issued a threat to veto H.R. 2207, on the grounds that there are no offsets for mandatory agriculture disaster assistance provisions.
    • the bill provides $3.5 billion for agricultural relief, $500 million for fighting wildfires, $425 million for a county payments program and $60 million for California salmon. Word is that H.R. 2207 is likely to come up for a House floor vote on Friday. Moving these domestic spending items in separate post-veto bill was an attempt to ease passage of the military portion of the supplemental.


Posted by Dana Chasin, 05:10:37 PM



Tuesday, May 08, 2007

House to Vote on Short-Term Iraq Financing

Within a few short hours today, our blog this morning, Mixed Signals on Short-Term War Funding Idea was overtaken by events. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-MD) until very recently publicly opposed a short-term approach to Iraq war funding. The Murtha/Obey plan calls for providing $43 billion, or half of the president's funding request, without the soldier withdrawal timetables or domestic funding in Supp. 1.0 -- but only through July. Today, both Pelosi and Hoyer endorsed it. Moreover, a Pelosi aide announced today that a vote on this version of the supplemental would be held on the House floor this Thursday or Friday.

Senate Minority Leader McConnell (R-KY) has voiced strong opposition. A spokesperson for Majority Leader Reid (D-NV) said, "It's not anything that will fly in the Senate." But that was last week. On Monday, this same aide told the NYT, "It is something that Senator Reid intends to take a look at."

The Administration, via spokesperson Tony Snow, came out in opposition to the proposal as "a kind of a start-and-stop measure." The bill includes political benchmarks for the Iraquis. A Bush veto of the bill might be difficult to explain to the American public.

As we said in our blog this morning: "Watch this space. [T]he short-term war funding idea, which seems to have more legs than we expected," may now have enough to make it.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 08:04:10 PM



Mixed Signals on Short-Term War Funding Idea

Last month, we reported in Supplemental 2.0 -- Short-Term War Funding? on a legislative strategy proposed by Rep. John Murtha (D-PA), seconded by House Appropriations chair David Obey (D-WI), to approve funding for soldiers only through July, but without any deployment timetables or restrictions in Supp. 1.0.

We noted the White House would likely take a dim view of the idea. Indeed it now has; the NYT has WH spokesman Tony Snow saying yesterday that a short-term bill "provides a kind of uncertainty that really is not helpful to commanders."

Last week, an aide to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said that the House notion of funding the war only through July, "It's not anything that will fly in the Senate." But yesterday, this same aide told the NYT, "It is something that Senator Reid intends to take a look at."

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) has broken her silence on the idea, with the Times reporting today that she is "leaning toward the approach." As recently as last week, House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-MD), per CQ, said "he does not favor passing a short-term measure to fund the troops for 60 days."

Watch this space for a short-term developments on the short-term war funding idea, which seems to have more legs than we expected, but still probably not enough to "fly".



Posted by Dana Chasin, 11:48:30 AM



Monday, May 07, 2007

Forecast for Appropriations Season: Stormy, With a Chance of Oversight

FedTimes on appropriations...

Capitol Hill watchers caution agency leaders to expect more hearings, more scrutiny, less predictability and longer wait times for their 2008 budgets.

"The one thing that is clear is that departments and agencies are going to be held much more accountable and forced to disclose a lot of information that they haven't previously disclosed, and they are going to be punished if they don't disclose," said Scott Lilly, a senior fellow with the Center for American Progress.

That punishment will come in the form of reduced funding — a flexing of the Democratic majority's newfound muscle, said Lilly, who previously served as staff director of the House Appropriations Committee Democratic minority office.



Posted by Matt Lewis, 02:40:23 PM



Post Clarifies Its Supplemental "Concession" Editorial-o
A May 3 Page One article about negotiations between President Bush and congressional Democrats over a war spending bill said the Democrats offered the first major concession by dropping their demand that the bill it include a deadline to bring troops home from Iraq. While Democrats are no longer pushing a firm date for troop withdrawals, party leaders did not specifically make that concession during a Wednesday meeting with Bush at the White House.


Weisman's Reply to TPM

Posted by Dana Chasin, 02:19:55 PM



Friday, May 04, 2007

Democrats Weigh Supp. 2.0 "A La Carte" Funding

An AP story this morning, Democrats not backing down on Iraq, not only flatly contradicts yesterday's Washington Post front-page headline, which drew a blog swat from us. It also details the short-term, "a la carte" approaches now under consideration by various House leaders.

Under another a la catre plan, military functions would get funds identified as money for "troops," through Sept. 30. But it would guarantee other funding, generally described as "combat" functions, for only two months and create a mechanism for fencing off funding for those operations beyond mid-July.

The AP said that another "short-term" funding idea was discussed in a closed door leadership meeting Thursday. But under this idea, offered by House Appropriations Committee chair David Obey (D-WI), members would vote separately on whether to fund some of the domestic spending in the Iraq bill that Bush opposed, such as agricultural assistance. According to a senior Democratic leadership aide, neither plan has been endorsed by Speaker Pelosi (D-CA), Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-MD), or by anyone in the Senate.

Yet another option on the "Supp 2.0" table involves rolling certain items over into the next (FY 2008) war funding supplemental or, perhaps, a domestic supplemental spending bill -- which would allow additional funding for the Katrina zone and agriculture and wildfire disaster relief, for example, to remain 'off-budget' and not count against any budgetary domestic discretionary caps.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 02:42:55 PM



BudgetBlog - Now in RSS!

If you use a newsreader, you can subscribe the BudgetBlog. You can find the feed here.

RSS? What's that?



Posted by Craig Jennings, 12:37:05 PM



Thursday, May 03, 2007

Sinkholes: Sign of the Apocalypse, or Result of Diminished Taxbase and Inadequate Investments in Public Infrastructure?

Rick Perlstein over at the Campaign for America's Future is keeping a watchful eye on a growing epidemic of sinkholes opening up all over the country. Decaying water and sewer pipes are to blame.

Yes, sinkholes. Yes, in America. Yes, it's weird and gross.

Perlstein also makes the connection to the anti-tax movement, in the sense that a smaller tax base has diminished the capacity of government to respond to public needs, like having level ground that doesn't cave in.

There's something absurd about the sinkhole epidemic, though I can't quite put my finger on it. It just seems a little over the top that the ground must open up beneath us to demonstrate that public investments in infrastructure matter and that taxes make it all possible.



Posted by Matt Lewis, 02:55:05 PM



Post's Editorial Malpractice in Front-Page Story on Iraq Funding

The Washington Post led today's edition with a large-font, top-of-the-front-page article entitled "Democrats Back Down On Iraq Timetable" that opened as follows:

President Bush and congressional leaders began negotiating a second war funding bill yesterday, with Democrats offering the first major concession: an agreement to drop their demand for a timeline to bring troops home from Iraq.

That would be a major news story (though many have expected such a move, eventually). Unfortunately, the article utterly fails to substantiate it. The article has no quotations from Democrats, or even Republicans, even referring to timetables at all.

"Democrats remain deeply divided over how far to give in to the White House," the article goes on to say. This is "why have you been beating your wife?" logic. Nowhere does the article point to evidence of a Democratic division over a presumed decision to "give in to the White House."

This is editorial malpractice unworthy of Washington Post front-page coverage of an important story. By contrast, the New York Times covers this same non-development in a story that makes no reference to "concessions" or "backing" down but quotes at least five Senate Democrats by name about the difficulties of finding a consensus withing their caucus on withdrawl timetables and war funding.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 01:39:38 PM



Wednesday, May 02, 2007

House Falls Short in Override Vote on Bush's Supplemental Veto

As expected, the House bid to override President Bush's veto of the war spending supplemental bill failed in a 222-203 vote this afternoon, well short of the short of the two-thirds needed to override the veto.

Speaking for six minutes to the nation last night -- on cable, that is; the networks did not grant Bush's request for airtime -- the president reiterated his objections to the "unconstitutionality" of the bill's timetable for withdrawal of Americans in combat. He added that "American commanders in the middle of a combat zone would have to take fighting directions from politicians 6,000 miles away in Washington, D.C." but is wasn't clear what directions and from whom, other than the administration offcicals who have been issuing them since the war started.

What's next? Congressional GOP leaders are hinting that they might be able to back some sort of performance benchmarks for the Iraqi government, perhaps linked to elements of funding, but not invoking soldier withdrawal deadlines. Would that be acceptible to enough of the Democratic caucus, which might split over a "Supp 2.0" that signals retreat from the (non-binding) Supp 1.0 standard of a goal of total U.S. soldier withdrawal from Iraq by March 31, 2008?

A compromise is expected soon. One deadline likely to be observed: House Majority Leader Steny H. Hoyer (D-MD) said he wants the House to take up a new version of the supplemental in the next two weeks so there is enough time for it to clear Congress and get to the president before Memorial Day.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 04:21:43 PM




Latest Entries by Theme

All Themes

Appropriations & Spending

Federal Tax Policy

Income/Wealth Inequality

Budget Projections

Government Performance

Estate Tax

State Fiscal Policy

Watcher

Entitlements

Budget Process

Debt & Deficit

Oversight & Enforcement

Transparency

Privatization

Contact Us

Most Recent Entries for Federal Budget & Tax

Bush Signs War Supplemental

BudgetBlog on Hiatus for Holiday: Happy Fourth Everyone!

The Heat Must Be Getting to Them

GAO Report Finds Private Medicare Providers Prefer Profits Over Providing Better Service

Yet Another Example of Questionable Outsourcing

Senate GOP Battling Themselves Over Earmarks

More Support for Ending the Contracting Free-For-All

House Approves Fiscally-Responsible AMT Patch

Contracting Oversight Commission Members Announced

OMB Refuses to Prioritize Army Contractor Oversight

Archived Entries for Appropriations & Spending

June

May

April

March

February

January

December, 2007

November, 2007

October, 2007

September, 2007

August, 2007

July, 2007

June, 2007

May, 2007

April, 2007

March, 2007

February, 2007

January, 2007

December, 2006

November, 2006

October, 2006

September, 2006

August, 2006

July, 2006

June, 2006

May, 2006

April, 2006

March, 2006

February, 2006

January, 2006

December, 2005

November, 2005

October, 2005

September, 2005

August, 2005

July, 2005

June, 2005

May, 2005

April, 2005

March, 2005

February, 2005

January, 2005

December, 2004

November, 2004

October, 2004

September, 2004

August, 2004

July, 2004

June, 2004

May, 2004

April, 2004

March, 2004

February, 2004

January, 2004

December, 2003

November, 2003

September, 2003

August, 2003

July, 2003