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Home :  Federal Budget & Tax : 
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Friday, May 16, 2008

GI Bill Surtax Would Affect 0.3% of All Taxpayers

When the House approved the domestic spending amendment to the war supplemental spending bill, it approved not only a $52 billion expansion of the GI Bill, but a 0.5% surtax on income for millionaire couples (individuals earning more than $500,000).

According a recent Citizens for Tax Justice report, the tax would affect about 0.3% of all taxpayers.

"The surtax would simply scale back the Bush tax cuts for the richest 0.3 percent of taxpayers, by an average of just 7 percent, to help the men and women returning from the wars and their families," said Robert S. McIntyre, director of Citizens for Tax Justice. "Lawmakers who oppose this proposal will prove that they really do value tax cuts for the wealthy over all else."
Annual effects of a proposed 0.47% surtax on adjusted gross income in excess of $1 million for married couples and $500,000 for others (at 2007 levels)
Number affected by surtax% of all taxpayers affectedTotal tax change
($-billion)
Average tax change
Married couples 291,300 0.5% $+3.0 $+10,240
Others 152,500 0.2% +0.9 +5,960
ALL 443,800 0.3% +3.9 +8,770
Source: Citizens for Tax Justice, "Surtax on Millionaires to Help Veterans Would Be A Tiny Sacrifice for the Richest 0.3 Percent of Taxpayers"
(click here to see full report chart)


Posted by Craig Jennings, 10:37:13 AM



TPC Testimony Before Senate Finance Committee

The Tax Policy Center, a joint venture of the Urban Institute and Brookings Institution, has published two tesitmonies from a recent Senate Finance Committee hearing on overhaul of the U.S. tax code:

A Blueprint for Tax Reform and Health Reform
Leonard Burman

In this testimony Burman outlines a plan for tax reform that would maintain progressivity, raise enough revenues to finance the government, and dovetail with plans to provide universal access to health insurance. The plan would combine a value-added tax (VAT) dedicated to pay for a new universal health insurance voucher with a vastly simplified and much flatter income tax.

Read the complete testimony

Individual Taxpayers and Federal Tax Reform
William Gale

In the next few years, several factors including the expiration of the bush Administration's tax cuts will push tax issues to the forefront of policy discussions. Gale's testimony focuses on some overarching principles that should guide tax reform efforts.

Read the complete testimony



Posted by Adam Hughes, 10:20:10 AM



DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- May 16, 2008

Tax Policy -- W&M Approves Extenders; Rejects AMT Patch: By a mostly party-line vote of 25-12, the House Ways and Means Committee approved at $57 billion tax package of an assortment of tax breaks yesterday. The committee also voted down a Republican-offered unpaid-for one-year AMT patch. The bill is expected to be on the House floor next week.

War Supplemental -- House Rejects War Funding Portion of War Sup: Anti-war Democrats voted "no" and 132 protesting Republicans voted "present" to defeat an amendment that would fund war operations in Iraq and Afghanistan to a war funding bill. A domestic spending package was approved along with provisions aimed at changing war policy. The Senate is expected to add war funds when it votes on the bill, probably after the Memorial Day break.

Farm Bill -- House and Senate Pass By Wide Margins: The Senate passed the farm bill reauthorization yesterday by a wide margin: 81-15, well above the 67 needed to override a promised presidential veto of the bill. The House has also passed the bill by much more than needed to override a veto in that chamber. The bill has almost $300 billion in spending over the next five years, with 73 percent of that spending going to people in poverty.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 09:01:01 AM



Wednesday, May 07, 2008

Gas Tax Laugh Tracks

The gas tax holiday proposed by Sens. John McCain (R-AZ) and Hillary Clinton (D-NY) has been universally panned by experts, economists and elitists of all political stripes.

Now comes a novel objection from perhaps the most famous of all pundits, certainly one with a bigger media footprint than all the others who have opined to date.

"The gas tax holiday? It doesn't go far enough!" grouses Stephen Colbert. His argument is neatly laid out in a presentation made to "nation," in Stephen Colbert's Gas Tax Holiday.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 10:51:31 AM



Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Fed Chief's Opinions on Foreclosure Remedies Differ from Frank Bill Oponents

Congressional opposition to the Frank housing bill is coalescing around apparently dubious propositions ($).

[Antonia Ferrier, spokeswoman for House Minority Whip Roy Blunt (R-MO)] also took aim at the [Rep. Barney] Frank proposal. "This bill perversely rewards those who borrowed more than they could afford — their monthly mortgage payments get reduced with the government footing the bill. How is that fair to the millions of Americans who worked hard and paid their mortgages on time? And who ends up holding the bag if all goes south? No surprise, the American taxpayer."

Meanwhile, economist and Fed Chief Ben Bernanke provides an "expert" opinion:

"High rates of delinquency and foreclosure can have substantial spillover effects on the housing market, the financial markets and the broader economy," [Federal Reserve Chairman Ben] Bernanke said Monday..."Therefore, doing what we can to avoid preventable foreclosures is not just in the interest of lenders and borrowers. It's in everybody's interest," he said.

...

The current housing crises has clobbered some borrowers home prices dropped. That left them with mortgages that are bigger than the value of their home. When that's the primary problem, Bernanke said the best solution may be reducing the amount that the borrower owes on the loan or some other permanent modification to the loan.

Fine. Helping distressed homeowners can help everyone. But surely we cannot stand in the way of the the almighty market! That would be disaster.

Republican talking points obtained by Roll Call also suggested housing prices must fall further rather than be propped up by a new government program, an argument also made by [Sen. Richard Shelby (R-AL)] Shelby.

"The correction in the housing market is a necessary reaction to a prolonged period of reckless lending and borrowing practices that helped take housing prices to levels that were simply unsustainable. For the market to stabilize, prices will need to return to levels that ordinary Americans can afford," the talking points read.

Or not.

Rising foreclosures add to the glut of unsold homes and that put more downward pressure on prices, aggravating the housing slump, he said. More rapid declines in house prices could have an "adverse impact" on the broader economy and the stability of the financial system, [Bernanke] said.

Photo by Flickr user msabcmom used under a Creative Commons license



Posted by Craig Jennings, 03:11:23 PM



PSA: Gas Tax Scam Making Its Way Through the Internet

If you find an email that looks like this in your inbox, delete it! It is a scam.

We are top officials of the United States Senate Government who are interested in importation of oil into our country with funds that are presently trapped in the FEDERAL TRANSPORTATION TRUST FUND dedicated to improving transportation. We wish to send this money to overseas accounts in the MIDDLE EAST but cannot due to restrictions in Congress Transportation Equity Act requiring that this money must be spent to build roads, bridges and high speed trains.

If you accept we will deliver to your a sum of 30 DOLLARS in the summer 2008 in form of a "GAS TAX HOLIDAY". You will then deliver this money to accounts of our friends in Middle East by taking it to your nearby gasoline station where they have information to forward the money. Please supply your bank account, social security number, address and your vote in DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES AND NOVEMBER GENERAL ELECTION.

(h/t Matthew Yglesias)


Posted by Craig Jennings, 12:01:06 PM



Thursday, May 01, 2008

Expert Support For Gas Tax Holiday "Nonexistent"
Early Reviews Give the Idea a Handful of Thumbs-Down

As a follow-up to the comments of Messrs. Mankiw and Berman regarding the notion of suspending the federal gas tax during the summer months, we submit for your consideration the substantiation offered by Sam Stein, Political Reporter at the Huffington Post, for the proposition that Expert Support For Gas Tax Holiday Appears Nonexistent, to wit:

  • Tom Friedman of the Times: "so ridiculous...it takes your breath away"
  • Jonathan Alter of Newsweek: "Hillary Clinton has now joined John McCain in proposing the most irresponsible policy idea of the year -- an idea that actually could aid the terrorists"
  • Jerry Taylor, a fellow for the Cato Institute, called the proposal a "holiday from reality"
  • Robert Shapiro, former undersecretary of commerce in the Clinton administration: ""Stated as clearly as I can, it's utterly misguided both environmentally and economically"
  • Max Schulz, a senior fellow at the conservative Manhattan Institute: "I think it is close to political pandering. It is bad policy and political gimmickry

This could go on all day. So we close on this note, from Ken Green, an energy expert for the American Enterprise Institute: "I'm afraid that your record is going to be unbroken in terms of finding someone who will like this idea."



Posted by Dana Chasin, 05:35:39 PM



Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Recessions Are Local

The BEA will release 1st quarter GDP figures tomorrow, and the BLS will release employment data on Friday. To be sure, these will be carefully-watched figures as the nation holds its breath waiting to see if we're moving closer to the R-word.

But these are national data, and it becomes easy to overlook the fact that some areas within the nation are currently in throes of economic turmoil. This morning's release of metropolitan employment data reminds us that, regardless of what happens in aggregate, many Americans are already living a recession.

Unemployment rates were higher in March than a year earlier in 309 of the 369 metropolitan areas, lower in 40 areas, and unchanged in 20 areas, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Fourteen areas, 12 of which are located in California, recorded jobless rates of at least 10.0 percent, while 9 areas registered rates below 3.0 percent. The national unemployment rate in March was 5.2 percent, not seasonally adjusted, up from 4.5 percent a year earlier.

In March, 45 metropolitan areas reported unemployment rates of at least 7.0 percent, up from 26 areas a year earlier, while 69 areas recorded rates below 4.0 percent, down from 128 areas in March 2007....Overall, 193 areas recorded unemployment rates below the U.S. figure of 5.2 percent, 163 areas had higher rates, and 13 areas had the same rate.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 10:37:57 AM



Monday, April 28, 2008

DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- April 27, 2008

Stimulus 1.0 -- First Checks Going Out Today: The first of 130 million tax "rebate" checks provided under the first stimulus package signed in February will be going out today, earlier than previously announced. The rebates - up to $600 for an individual, $1,200 for a couple and an additional $300 for each dependent child are the biggest part of $168 billion stimulus. Story.

War Supplemental -- Bill Could Top $200 Bn.: According to BNA ($), the House is mulling a war funding bill that would include the remainder of the president's FY 2008 request ($108 billion), his FY 2009 partial-year request ($70 billion), and some $15 billion in domestic spending that may include an extension of unemployment benefits and increased funding for a childhood nutrition program.

Taxes -- Senate Panels Agree on FAA, Highway Package: Leaders of the Senate Finance and Commerce Committees announced late Friday an agreement on a tax package to boost funding for the Federal Aviation Administration and ensure solvency for the Highway Trust Fund. Among the provisions are a "truth in passenger tax disclosures" provision to prevent airlines from presenting fuel surcharges as government taxes and tax credit bonds for rail infrastructure. The package has not yet been scored. American Infrastructure Investment and Improvement Act.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 10:03:48 AM



Wesley Snipes Gets Three Years for Tax Evasion

On Friday, actor Wesley Snipes was sentenced to three years in prison for failing to pay federal income taxes for close to ten years. Snipes could have been sentenced to up to 16 years if he had been convicted of all charges, but he was not convicted of tax fraud and conspiracy back in February. He owes close to $20 million according to the IRS. Snipes maintains he was dupped, but the judge thought otherwise:

But U.S. District Judge William Terrell Hodges said Snipes exhibited a "history of contempt over a period of time" for U.S. tax laws, and granted prosecutors the sentence they requested — one year for each of Snipes' convictions of willfully failing to file a tax return from 1999-2001.

The Snipes case is the highest profile tax evasion prosecution since the billionaire Leona Helmsley was convicted of tax fraud in 1989.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 09:24:58 AM



Wednesday, April 23, 2008

ADDENDUM: Gas Tax Cut Gets Bipartisan Rebuff
Following up on Fiscal Foolery:

  • Senate Energy and Natural Resources ranking member Pete Domenici (R-NM) said today that a gas tax holiday this summer will do little to curb the soaring record prices at the pump. "You might not get the whole benefit of it because in a month or so the price might be up anyway, because the price of crude oil going up... I'm willing to listen but I don't believe it will solve the problem and I don't think it will do much for the American people."

  • Per House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee Chairman James L. Oberstar (D-MN) and Highways and Transit Subcommittee Chair Peter A. DeFazio (D-OR), the proposal will eliminate approximately 300,000 family-wage, highway construction-related jobs in a mere three months. For a state-by-state breakdown, click here.


Posted by Dana Chasin, 04:24:10 PM



Fiscal Fiction: Addressing Misconceptions, Pt. II
Memo to ABC's Gibson: Capital Gains Cuts Also Cut Revenues
... in each instance, when the [capital gains tax] rate dropped, revenues from the tax increased. The government took in more money. And in the 1980s, when the tax was increased to 28 percent, the revenues went down.... history shows that when you drop the capital-gains tax, the revenues go up.

Intuitively, Gibson's claim is far-fetched. True, if revenues increase following a capital gains tax rate cut, that's short-lived, and a function of investors delaying selling stock when they know a tax cut is imminent. After the cut takes effect, they then declare their gains and pay taxes at the lower rate. Empirically, as the Congressional Budget Office puts it in a revenue and tax policy brief:

[r]ising gains receipts in response to a rate cut are most likely to occur in the short run... The potentially large difference between the long- and short-term sensitivity of realizations to tax rates can mislead observers into assuming a greater permanent responsiveness than actually exists.

And from Gregory Mankiw, former chairman of President Bush's Council of Economic Advisers:

To what extent does a tax cut pay for itself? In almost all cases, tax cuts are partly self-financing. This is especially true for cuts in capital income taxes... For a cut in capital income taxes, the feedback is ... about 50 percent -- but still well under 100 percent and paybacks of 50 percent still mean a net revenue loss for the Treasury.

And finally, Will Rogers: "It's not the things he just don't know, it's the things he knows for sure that just ain't so."

Posted by Dana Chasin, 11:38:19 AM



Fiscal Foolery: Addressing Misconceptions, Pt. I
Suspending the 18.4 Cents/Gallon Tax This Summer

Sounds like a good idea, on the face of it. Cut the 18.4 cents-per-gallon Federal gas tax and customers will save roughly $2-3 each visit to the pump during the summer, right? What's not to like?

Well, don't ask whether it makes sense to encourage burning more fossil fuel or whether we should raid the highway trust fund when bridges are collapsing. Think about how to lower gas prices to boost the economy.

Here's the problem: Refineries run near capacity every summer as families rack up miles on their vacations. That's one reason why gas prices always jump in the summer. If [the] excise tax cut did translate into lower prices, we'd want to drive even more and burn more gasoline. Since the oil patch can't boost production much without building new refineries, the price has to go back up.

-- Commentary by Leonard E. Burman, Urban Institute, April 18, 2008

Another concern, raised by Dean Baker in the American Prospect:

We have a fixed amount of gas entering the market, the question is simply what price clears the market. In this context, if we reduce or eliminate the gas tax, the price doesn't change, the lower tax will simply allow Exxon and other oil companies to keep more profits (unless of course they were lying about running their refineries at capacity). Since most people do not have much familiarity with economics, the media should be informing the public about the impact of [this] proposal.


Posted by Dana Chasin, 10:34:20 AM



OMB Watch Statement on FY 2009 Budget

OMB Watch released a statement on April 22 on the FY 2009 budget resolution negotiations. The statement urges both House and Senate negotiators to uphold the fiscally responsible principles promised by Democrats when they took over the majority in 2006. A key aspect of the ongoing budget negotiations is whether to offset the $70 billion cost of a one-year fix to the creep of the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT). The House version of the resolution offsets the costs while the Senate does not.

OMB Watch was intensely critical of the president and Congress, particularly the Senate, at the end of last year when they abandoned PAYGO and passed a fix to the AMT that added over $50 billion to the tab of future generations. Congress has the opportunity to reverse course on this issue this week and make the difficult, but correct, choice to pay for their priorities. Let's hope they are able to muster the courage to do the right thing.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 10:04:38 AM



Friday, April 18, 2008

Farm Bill PAYGO Deal May Be at Hand

At 11:00 a.m. today, the Senate Finance Committee announced a new tax title to the farm bill, complete with offsets. The timing is propitious, because the one-month extension of the farm bill expires today. But agreement with the House is still unlikely to come today.

The tax expenditures in the new tax title, which come to a total of $2.406 billion, are as follows:

  • Ethanol Package $1.226 billion
  • Schedule F Loss Limitation $0.456 billion
  • Optional Self-Employment Tax $0.124 billion
  • Other Farm-Related Tax Reform $0.600 billion

And the offsets for $10 billion total spending in the bill are:

  • Stock Basis Reporting $6 billion
  • Customs User Fees $4 billion


Posted by Dana Chasin, 01:00:11 PM




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