Federal Budget & Tax

Federal Budget & Tax: News Blog Background

Monday, December 20, 2004

Last week, Bush convened a number of experts in Washington, D.C. for an Economic Summit to discuss budget and tax reform, social security, and the possibility of extending last term's tax cuts. A transcript of Bush's summit comments can be found here.

As an article in today's Washington Post points out, Bush may see significant opposition to some of his plans from Congress, academics, and economic experts and analysts. Many people have been recently vocal about some of the administration's proposed policy reforms. For example Alan S. Blinder, former Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve and a Princeton economist, recently stated the following concerning Bush's social security policy: "Under these changes, Social Security would be neither social nor provide security. This would be a piece of a program to expose people to more and more risk…. There are millions of Americans who have no desire and no ability to gamble on the financial markets, and they shouldn't be pushed to."

The next few months should include a good deal of debate concerning issues such as tax and social security reform. To read more about the Economic Summit, click here.

Posted by Becky Lewis, 12:26:20 PM

Friday, December 17, 2004

Will Privatization Increase SS Management Fees?

As Paul Krugman noted in the New York Times this morning, social security overhaul comes with a lot of risks. He points out other countries have dabbled in privatization and is baffled at the lack of understanding of their experiences. For example, in Chile's program, privatization has caused management fees to be as high as 20 precent, whereas in the United States currently, 99 percent of social security revenues go towards benefits. This is another pitfall of privitization that is not mentioned by the Bush administration. Krugman's column is worth a read.

Also, click here to read the latest Center on Budget and Policy Priorities report about price indexing and how Bush's reform proposal could significantly reduce benefits in the years to come.

Posted by Becky Lewis, 03:52:10 PM

Thursday, December 16, 2004

Everything You Want To Know About Social Security And More

The Social Security Network, which was first launched in 1997, serves as an important resource for information and research on the Social Security program and the debate about its future. This week they released "Twelve Reasons Why Privatizing Social Security Is A Bad Idea." The report highlights the fact that the creation of personal investment accounts will have drastic consequences on federal revenue reserves, future retirees, and the people who rely on social security benefits the most. The report also includes numerous links to other studies of social security policy.

For an additional analysis of the social security safety net and the implications of reform, check out this article from tompaine.com.

Posted by Becky Lewis, 12:02:03 PM

Wednesday, December 15, 2004

The Social Security Debate, Continued

Today is the first day of President Bush's Economic Summit, which will address issues such as budget and tax reform, health care, and social security. Social security has been widely discussed recently, as this administration has made clear their intent on overhauling the program. According to this New York Times article, however, plans to reform social security may result in significant benefits cuts for retirees in the future due to many factors, including the size of transition costs. Bush recently stated that he was opposed to the idea of raising payroll taxes to offset transition costs.

Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC), one of the original proponents of reform, very recently warned however that borrowing the entire sum of transition costs to reform the program would be irresponsible. Because of current budgetary constraints, Graham told Fox News Sunday he supports temporarily lifting the program's tax base, or pushing up the $87,900 cap on personal income subject to Social Security. He said, "I don't think you can make the tax cuts permanent, have alternative minimum tax relief, and borrow the entire transition cost--which is over $1 trillion, and have debts that we can sustain."

To read more about Graham and the social security debate, click here and here.

Posted by Becky Lewis, 04:20:01 PM

Trade Gap Grows Significantly in October

Yesterday, the government reported that America's trade deficit widened in October at a record monthly rate. BNA news services reported, "A major contributor to the October deterioration in the deficit was the oil import bill, as the price of oil rose 11 percent to a record $41.79 a barrel from $37.62 in September."

The trade gap widened a total of 9 percent from September to October. The deficit in September was $50.9 billion, and the deficit in October was $55.5 billion. The total deficit tally for the first ten months of 2004 was $500.5 billion, which is a significant increase when compared with the deficit tally for all twelve months of 2003, which was $496.5 billion. As a New York Times editorial pointed out today, the United States "is now on track for a trade deficit of more than $60 billion next June."

The continuously high trade deficit is not good news for the return on our dollar. The dollar is currently down 55 percent against the euro, and 22 percent against the yen. To read more about the dollar and the implications of the trade gap, click here. To read about President Bush's latest comments on the current strength (or weakness) of the dollar, click here.

Posted by Becky Lewis, 03:11:55 PM

Thursday, December 09, 2004

Snow Will Remain As Treasury Secretary

Yesterday, December 8th, President Bush asked Treasury Secretary John Snow to remain in his position for the next two years, at least. After meeting breifly with the President, he agreed. Snow first joined the Bush administration in February 2003 after former Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill was ousted; prior to that, he headed CSX, a large railroad company. Snow's position as Treasury Secretary puts him in one of the nation's most central economic policymaking posts.

This announcement is particularly noteworthy because of the rumors that have been circulating recently regarding whether Snow would remain on board in the second term. On Monday, the New York Times even reported that "President Bush has decided to replace John W. Snow as treasury secretary and has been looking closely at a number of possible replacements, including the White House chief of staff, Andrew H. Card Jr., Republicans with ties to the White House say."

Despite the rumors, Snow will remain to help the administration sell its second term economic agenda to the public and Congress. This decision comes at a time of considerable economic uncertainty, as we are faced with an increasingly weaker dollar, a growing deficit, and looming discussions of both tax reform and an overthrow of the social security entitlement program. Mr. Snow, as today's New York Times states, is largely seen as a "salesman for White House policies."

For more information on Snow as Treasury Secretary, click here and here.

Posted by Becky Lewis, 11:57:59 AM

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