In contrast to a number of recent disappointing reports on the economy, last month's job market performance was surprisingly upbeat. According to the report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, employment grew by 274,000, easily beating forecasters' expectations of gains of around 170,000. Furthermore, job gains for February and March were revised up by a combined amount of 93,000.

With these additions, the average monthly growth of payrolls over the past year has been 181,000. While this rate of job growth is less robust than during past recoveries (monthly employment growth over a comparable period in the last recovery was over 300,000 according to the Economic Policy Institute) it is at least strong enough to keep pace with population growth. Even though businesses are adding more jobs (a sign of increased demand and profits), workers are not necessarily benefiting with higher wages.

Read EPIs Senior Economist Jared Bernstein's analysis



Posted by Adam Hughes, 05:57:16 PM



House Adopts Emergency Supplemental Measure

Yesterday the House adopted the conference report on the 2005 emergency supplemental (H.R. 1268) to fund war operations in Iraq and Afghanistan. Next week the Senate will most likely approve the bill as well and it will go to the President for his signature. In clearing the measure, the House narrowly rejected a Democratic effort to add another $284 million in border security funding through a motion to recommit the measure back to conference.

The $82 billion measure appropriates $75.9 billion towards war spending, bringing the total level of war spending since the spring of 2003 to $228.4 billion. See the National Priorities Project for a great breakdown of the cost of the war by state

Yesterday, the Congressional Budget Office released a monthy budget update for FY 2005, in which they said the budget deficit could drop to as low as $350 billion (the deficit last year reached a record-high $412 billion). CBO states this drop is attributable to non-witheld income and payroll tax receipts jumping by 33 percent (the highest rate in four years) and corporate tax receipts jumping 47 percent, increasing overall revenue well beyond projections.

While Republicans claim the CBO estimate means their fiscal policies to reduce deficits are working, Democrats counter the deficit would still be rampant, whether or not it fell, and that continuous deficits are adding to the deterioration of the fiscal health of the nation.

The updated projections that the deficit may drop by $65 billion this year does not alter the fact Bush came into office with a projected 10-year $5.6 trillion surplus and quickly instituted structural deficits through irresponsible tax and spending policies. Despite historically large deficits, the president has continued to push some of the same policies that brought the U.S. so far into the red, including his debt-financed Social Security proposal and extension of the first term tax cuts.

While CBO is predicting in their monthly budget review the budget deficit may be smaller than originally thought, it is important to remember this is a short timeframe. Looking at the effect of the president's tax policies beyond the narrow five-year window included in the congressional budget resolution, we see the costs of those policies explode.

So while news of increased tax receipts is good for a government running large deficits, it is important to remember the future costs of some of Bush's economic policies to put in context the direction the deficit is headed.

The Connecticut House approved a measure late last week to increase the minimum wage to $7.65 an hour over two years, the Hartford Courant reported.

The Democratic-controlled House voted 96-44, primarily along party lines, to increase the wage by 30 cents next year and 55 cents in 2007. Connecticut's $7.10 an hour minimum wage is one of the highest in the nation, slightly above the wage in Washington, Oregon, and Alaska.

Many Republicans opposed the increase, saying it would hurt workers as small employers would cut back on hours and jobs to avoid rising labor costs.

Supporters say the increase would help low-income families, many of which depend on minimum wage jobs. Lawmakers stated there are 39,000 families in Connecticut living on the minimum wage.