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Home :  Federal Budget & Tax : 
Federal Budget & Tax:      News     Blog     Background    



Friday, August 29, 2008

Forthcoming: EPI's The State of Working America, 2008/2009

The Economic Policy Institute has released the advanced version of The State of Working America, 2008/2009; full version will be available Jan. 2009.

Described as the "most comprehensive independent analysis of the U.S. labor market" by the Financial Times, the 11th edition shows that the business cycle that started in 2001 will be one for the record books....Prepared biennially since 1988, The State of Working America scrutinizes family incomes, jobs, wages, unemployment, wealth, poverty, and health care coverage, describing the economy's effect on our nation's standard of living.
Read select chapters here.


Posted by Craig Jennings, 02:46:27 PM



The Executive Pay Pie: Extra Large Slices and Topped with Tax Subsidies

Staying with our current theme of taxes and corporate America, let me direct your attention toExecutive Excess 2008: How Average Taxpayers Subsidize Runaway Pay -- a report from Institute for Policy Studies and United for a Fair Economy.

On Wednesday, I wrote that even though it's wrong to simply state that two thirds of corporations do not pay corporate income taxes, heavy criticism can be leveled at the tax code because it's rigged such that a lot of profits escape taxation. This IPS/UFE report takes aim at tax laws that encourage stratospheric executive compensation while costing some $20 billion annually.

Estimated Annual Cost to Taxpayers of the Five Most Direct Tax Subsidies for Excessive Executive Pay
Preferential capital gains treatment of carried interest$2,661,000,000
Unlimited deferred compensation$80,600,000
Offshore deferred compensation$2,086,000,000
Unlimited tax deductibility of executive pay$5,249,475,000
Stock option accounting double standard$10,000,000,000
Total$20,077,075,000

The report notes that 30 years ago, the average American CEO was paid some 30 to 40 times that of the average American worker. In 2007, however, CEOs were compensated at a rate 344 times greater than that of the average worker. While the explosion in the pay gap has many causes, federal tax law has played role. And, aside from abetting obscene executive pay, the $20 billion in forgone revenue could be put to other uses.

All subsidies involve trade-offs. Each time we allow executives and their employers to avoid paying taxes they would otherwise owe, we reduce government's capacity to deliver needed services that taxpayers and their families would otherwise receive.

Tax subsidies for excessive executive pay represent a particularly indefensible waste of government resources. At the moment, no serious observer of the American scene is arguing that top business executives, as a group, earn too little in compensation. So why then should government, in any manner, be encouraging corporations and investment firms to pay their executives even more?



Posted by Craig Jennings, 02:34:17 PM



Thursday, August 28, 2008

Notes from the Economy: GDP, Jobless Claims

GDP
The Bureau of Economic Analysis released its preliminary estimate of second quarter GDP growth. The BEA estimates that the economy grew at annualized rate of 3.3 percent in the second quarter. This estimate is a bit higher than the advance figure of 1.9 percent, which the BEA released a month ago. The final second quarter GDP number will be released on Sept. 26. In the first quarter of this year, real GDP grew at a 0.9 percent rate.

The acceleration in real GDP growth in the second quarter primarily reflected a larger decrease in imports, an acceleration in exports, an acceleration in PCE, a smaller decrease in residential fixed investment, and an upturn in state and local government spending that were partly offset by a larger decrease in inventory investment.

Unemployment Insurance Claims
Also released today were unemployment insurance claims. The Labor Department estimates that in the week ending Aug. 23, 425,000 new unemployment insurance claims were made. The figure is 10,000 fewer than the previous week and reduces the four-week moving average of initial claims from 446,250 to 440, 250. The number of continuing claims rose by 64,000 to 3,423,000.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 11:36:27 AM



Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Steven Pearlstein Wants to be Shown the Money


(Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, "Average Income in 2006 Up $60,000 for Top 1 Percent of Households, Just $430 for Bottom 90 Percent")

After a discussion about federal tax policy and income inequality, Steven Pearlstein strikes the right chord on where the discussion on inequality should be focused. As much as the distributional consequences of the tax code matter, there's still the nagging problem of pre-tax income inequality. Despite major advances in worker productivity over the past 40 years, workers have seen only a sliver of that economic gain.

The reality is that the market's tilt toward unequal outcomes is now so strong that you can't just rely on a progressive tax code to counteract its effects. To do that, it may be necessary to forgo some of those additional tax cuts for the middle and professional classes to pay for increased spending on early childhood education, state colleges and universities, and expanded public health programs. It may be necessary to "tinker" with the markets just a bit by indexing the minimum wage to overall income growth, using the antitrust laws to bust up oligopolies like those on Wall Street and making it possible once again for workers to unionize without fear of losing their jobs. It may even be necessary to slow the pace of further globalization.

There's a good debate to be had on all of these ideas -- every one involves economic risks and trade-offs. But there is no debating that markets are doing a lousy job of distributing the benefits of economic growth and that another decade of stagnant wages and runaway inequality is unacceptable.

No larger point here, I just wanted to flag this for interested readers.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 04:24:47 PM



Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Annual Census Report on Income, Poverty and Health Insurance Coverage Released

You can read Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2007 here.

Good news for income, not so great news for poverty, and mixed news for health insurance coverage. Here are a few highlights copy and pasted from the report:

Income:
  • Real median household income increased 1.3 percent between 2006 and 2007, from $49,568 to $50,233 the third annual increase in real median household income.
  • Real median earnings of both men and women who worked full-time, year-round rose between 2006 and 2007, following 3 years of annual declines. Men's earnings increased by 3.8 percent to $45,113, women's by 5.0 percent to $35,102. The 2007 female-to-male earnings ratio, 0.78, is an all-time high
Poverty:
  • The official poverty rate in 2007 was 12.5 percent, not statistically different from 2006
  • In 2007, 37.3 million people were in poverty, up from 36.5 million in 2006.
Health Insurance Coverage:
  • Both the percentage and number of people without health insurance decreased in 2007. The percentage without health insurance was 15.3 percent in 2007, down from 15.8 percent in 2006, and the number of uninsured was 45.7 million, down from 47.0 million
  • The number of people with health insurance increased to 253.4 million in 2007 (up from 249.8 million in 2006). The number of people covered by private health insurance (202.0 million) in 2007 was not statistically different from 2006, while the number of people covered by government health insurance increased to 83.0 million, up from 80.3 million in 2006.

U.S. Census Bureau: Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2007



Posted by Craig Jennings, 10:49:00 AM



Friday, August 22, 2008

Gearing up for New Census Poverty Data

Today has been a slow day in an already slow month in fiscal policy in Washington, DC, but the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities (CBPP) issued a very helpful report leading up to the release of poverty, income, and health insurance data from the U.S. Census Bureau next Tuesday. The report is a guide to what to look for in the Census release and how to assess whether economic growth is reaching low- and middle-income families.

CBPP thinks these data could show some pretty unprecedented trends:

The 2007 figures may well show something unprecedented. For the first time on record, poverty and the median income of working-age households may be worse at the end of a multi-year economic expansion than they were at the bottom of the previous recession. That would be an unparalleled and troubling sign of the limits of recent economic growth.

WHAT TO WATCH FOR IN THE NEW CENSUS INCOME AND POVERTY NUMBERS



Posted by Adam Hughes, 04:55:04 PM



Thursday, August 21, 2008

Notes from the Economy: Unemployment Insurance Claims

The Department of Labor released its weekly unemployment insurance claims data this morning. Initial and continuing claims moved slightly downward, from 445,000 to 432,000 and from 3,379,000 to 3,362,000, respectively. The four-week moving average of initial claims, however, ticked up from 438,500 to 445,750.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 10:28:27 AM



Monday, August 18, 2008

CHN Hosting Prep Webinar on Census Poverty Data Release

On Tuesday, August 19, the Coalition on Human Needs is once again hosting a webinar to help advocates and analysts prepare for the release of annual data from the Census Bureau about poverty, income, and health insurance in the U.S. The webinar will take place from 2:00 - 3:30 (EST) on the web, and feature Jared Bernstein of the Economic Policy Insitute, Douglas Hall, Acting Managing Director of Connecticut Voices for Children, Deborah Weinstein, Executive Director of the Coalition on Human Needs, and will be moderated by Ellen Teller, Director of Government Affairs, Food Research and Action Center.

If you are not familiar with CHN's webinar or the annual data release of poverty information from Census, here's a bit of information about what you can expect if you sign up and participate. The webinar will help you:

* to find and understand national numbers and the findings for your state when they're released on August 26
* to see accurate trends over time; whether your state fares better or worse than the national average
* to compare the new data (from 2007) with what we know about the economic woes of 2008, and
* how to talk about the new findings to help build the growing movement for a national commitment to dramatically reduce U.S. poverty.

To sign up to participate and for more information, see CHN's webinar webpage.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 04:28:28 PM



Thursday, August 14, 2008

Notes from the Economy: Prices, Earnings, Unemployment Claims
Notes from the Economy: Prices, Earnings, Unemployment Claims

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released data for inflation and real earnings this morning, while the Labor Department reported on unemployment insurance claims for the past week.

Inflation: Consumer prices continue their steep advance as prices jumped 0.8 percent in July, pushing the annualized rate to 10.6 percent (yikes!). The jump in consumer prices was largely driven by food and energy, and when those items are subtracted inflation clocks in a high, but not scary, 3.5 percent.
BLS Release: Consumer Price Index: July 2008
Commentary: Dean Baker at CEPR

Real Earnings: Workers' pay took a hit in July as real average weekly earnings fell by 0.8 percent. The 0.3 percent increase in average hourly earnings couldn't keep up with the 0.3 decrease in aerage weekly hours and the 0.9 percent in prices.
BLS Release: Real Earnings in July 2008

Unemployment Insurance Claims: Last week, 450,000 workers claimed unemployment insurance for the first time -- 10,000 fewer than the previous week. The four-week moving average of initial jobless claims rose to 440,500, an increase of 19,500 from the previous week's revised average of 421,000. Workers who continue to collect unemployment insurance advanced to 3,417,000, an increase of 114,000 from the previous week.
Department of Labor Release: Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report
Commentary: Andrew Samwick at Capital Gains and Games


Posted by Craig Jennings, 05:02:40 PM



Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Looking for Top Notch Interns!

The OMB Watch Fiscal Policy Program is looking for an intern for the fall of 2008. Yup, that's right. This is your chance to get in on the ground floor at one of the most dynamic nonprofit watchdog groups in Washington, DC. We're looking for energetic undergraduate or graduate students who have excellent writing, critical thinking, and communications skills, and who are dedicated to public policy and government accountability (see current intern Josh at right for example).

The internship is unpaid, but you'll have the chance to gain first hand experiences and take on significant responsibilities related to a number of different aspects of policy analysis in DC. Plus, you'll get a chance to write for the BudgetBlog - what could be better?

Interested? Learn more about the position and how to apply.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 05:56:02 PM



Thursday, August 07, 2008

Notes from the Economy: Jobless Claims

The Labor Department released its weekly unemployment insurance (UI) claims data this morning.

  • 455,000 workers filed first-time UI claims last week, a jump of 7,000 from the previous week. The number of claims last week had not been seen since March 2002.
  • The four-week average for new UI claims moved up to 419,500, a five-year high
  • The number of continuing claims rose to 3,311,000, also a five-year high

AP: Jobless claims hit highest point since March 2002



Posted by Craig Jennings, 03:57:16 PM



Wednesday, August 06, 2008

Senators Suggest Making Tax Code Less Offensive

Writing in the New York Times, Stephanie Strom brings yet another instance of how corporations and their enabling political benefactors have clearly had their way with the tax code.

Organizations, including the American Red Cross and Catholic Charities, have complained that the current tax deduction for use of a personal car while performing volunteer services for charities was too low at 14 cents a mile. That is compared with 58.5 cents a mile for corporate employees who use their cars for business purposes.

Simply inexcusable.

And on Wednesday, four senators plan to announce a proposal to reset the charitable mileage deduction to 70 percent of the corporate deduction.

Seventy percent? Way to even out the disparity, clowns.

Tax breaks are inserted into the tax code as a means of either encouraging certain behavior or restoring fairness to a perceived inequity. That the use of personal vehicles for business deserves a tax break of some four times that of charitable use indicates that, as a society, we either 1) believe personal vehicles should be used way more for business than for charity (free market, baby!) or 2) that it would be really unfair for people who use their personal vehicles for charity work to see a tax break equal to those who use them for business.

Put to a vote, it's hard to see how either of these options would win in a citizen ballot initiative. Common decency would forbid it. One wonders, then, what sort of conditions foster this kind of shameful disparity in the tax code.

Photo by Flickr user genericstrasse used under a Creative Commons license.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 11:28:05 AM



Tuesday, August 05, 2008

Notes from the Economy: There's a Deeper Problem than Housing

Former Clinton Labor Secretary and current UC Berkeley professor Robert Reich really nails it on his blog today:

But even an adequate stimulus package will offer only temporary relief this time, because this isn't a normal downturn. The problem lies deeper. Most Americans can no longer maintain their standard of living.

...

The heart of the matter isn't the collapse in housing prices or even the frenetic rise in oil and food prices. These are contributing to the mess but they are not creating it directly. The basic reality is this: For most Americans, earnings have not kept up with the cost of living.

Reich then goes on to explain that, since the 1970s, facing stagnating wages, American families sent women into the workforce to supplement family income, then families worked longer hours, and finally they relied on borrowing -- through credit cards and equity in their homes -- as a means to increase their standard of living. And now that the last source of wage supplement has dried up, the recession that we're headed for will require a ground-up fix, rather than a temporary (and marginal) boost to family income.

Growing inequality, where the gains from increasing productivity have accrued mainly to the wealthy, is ultimately harming the nation's economy. Economists and policy makers can no longer duck the inequality issue with a "well, life isn't fair" attitude: Inequality bears directly on the ability of the economy to sustain and improve the standard of living for all Americans. The economy, after all, does not exist to protect and extend the fortunes of the fortunate.

Image by Flickr user incendiarymind used under a Creative Commons license.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 02:08:14 PM



Friday, August 01, 2008

Notes from the Economy: Employment

Jobs data released this morning show that the economy continued to a seven-month trend of shedding jobs. July's bottom-line job-loss number was mitigated by an increase of 25,000 government jobs; private sector employment dropped by 76,000. Since January, the economy has lost 463,000 jobs.

The unemployment rate also moved upward from 5.5 percent to 5.7 percent. In the past year, the unemployment rate has rise 1.0 percent as 1.6 million workers have become unemployed.


(click to enlarge)



Posted by Craig Jennings, 09:39:32 AM




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