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Friday, May 16, 2008

GI Bill Surtax Would Affect 0.3% of All Taxpayers

When the House approved the domestic spending amendment to the war supplemental spending bill, it approved not only a $52 billion expansion of the GI Bill, but a 0.5% surtax on income for millionaire couples (individuals earning more than $500,000).

According a recent Citizens for Tax Justice report, the tax would affect about 0.3% of all taxpayers.

"The surtax would simply scale back the Bush tax cuts for the richest 0.3 percent of taxpayers, by an average of just 7 percent, to help the men and women returning from the wars and their families," said Robert S. McIntyre, director of Citizens for Tax Justice. "Lawmakers who oppose this proposal will prove that they really do value tax cuts for the wealthy over all else."
Annual effects of a proposed 0.47% surtax on adjusted gross income in excess of $1 million for married couples and $500,000 for others (at 2007 levels)
Number affected by surtax% of all taxpayers affectedTotal tax change
($-billion)
Average tax change
Married couples 291,300 0.5% $+3.0 $+10,240
Others 152,500 0.2% +0.9 +5,960
ALL 443,800 0.3% +3.9 +8,770
Source: Citizens for Tax Justice, "Surtax on Millionaires to Help Veterans Would Be A Tiny Sacrifice for the Richest 0.3 Percent of Taxpayers"
(click here to see full report chart)


Posted by Craig Jennings, 10:37:13 AM



DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- May 16, 2008

Tax Policy -- W&M Approves Extenders; Rejects AMT Patch: By a mostly party-line vote of 25-12, the House Ways and Means Committee approved at $57 billion tax package of an assortment of tax breaks yesterday. The committee also voted down a Republican-offered unpaid-for one-year AMT patch. The bill is expected to be on the House floor next week.

War Supplemental -- House Rejects War Funding Portion of War Sup: Anti-war Democrats voted "no" and 132 protesting Republicans voted "present" to defeat an amendment that would fund war operations in Iraq and Afghanistan to a war funding bill. A domestic spending package was approved along with provisions aimed at changing war policy. The Senate is expected to add war funds when it votes on the bill, probably after the Memorial Day break.

Farm Bill -- House and Senate Pass By Wide Margins: The Senate passed the farm bill reauthorization yesterday by a wide margin: 81-15, well above the 67 needed to override a promised presidential veto of the bill. The House has also passed the bill by much more than needed to override a veto in that chamber. The bill has almost $300 billion in spending over the next five years, with 73 percent of that spending going to people in poverty.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 09:01:01 AM



Thursday, May 15, 2008

DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- May 15, 2008

War Supplemental -- House and Senate Action Today: The House is scheduled to vote on a $183.7 billion war supplemental spending package today. The Senate Appropriations Committee will begin work on marking up companion legislation also today. but it's unlikely a bill will reach President Bush by the Memorial Day break. House Amendments to Bill.

Unemployment Insurance -- House, Senate Approps Votes Slated: The full House and the Senate Appropriations Committee are scheduled to vote on an amendment to the war supplemental to extend UI benefits. The House bill provides a 13-week extension in most states, 20 weeks in with the highest unemployment rates -- it's 33 weeks in the Senate version. The percentage of workers who exhaust unemployment benefits currently is 36 percent, higher than at the beginning of any of the past five recessions.

Tax Policy -- Ways and Means to Mark Up Extenders: The extenders package covers dozens of tax credits and breaks, costing $57 billion. On top of that, , GOP members of the panel are expected to propose a one-year AMT unpatch, unpaid for, during the mark up. H.R. 6049 Energy and Tax Extenders Bill Summary. JCT Scoring.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 09:55:39 AM



Wednesday, May 14, 2008

DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- May 14, 2008

PAYGO -- Congress Pays Heed to PAYGO: On three fronts, Congress paid heed to the principles of PAYGO this week, planning to pay for tax cuts and spending increases in the farm bill, the tax extenders package, and (most surprsingly; see below) the supplemental. The farm bill's new tax credits would be paid for, in part, by limiting the net operating loss carryback to $200,000 on businesses' non-agriculture income if they receive commodity payments. The extenders would raise revenue by limiting the deferral of offshore corporate income. That's the plan for now. Here's how PAYGO works.

War Supplemental -- Compromised Reached with Blue Dogs?: Politco's The Crypt is saying that House Democratic leadership will offset a $52 billion expansion of the GI Bill with a half percentage-point increase on income for couples earning more than $1 million. (CongressDaily reports that the increase applies to individuals earning more than $500,000 as well).

Taxes -- Senate Finance Hears Ideas on Tax Reform: The Senate Finance Committee heard ideas from left, center, and right on individual income tax reform yesterday at Cracking the Code, the first of three hearings chair Sen. Max Baucus (D-MT) plans in the coming months. From AMT to the estate tax, the individual income tax code will probably see significant reform in the next couple of years. The Brookings Perspective.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 09:58:57 AM



Tuesday, May 13, 2008

DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- May 13, 2008

Taxes -- Rangel Eyeing Extender Offsets: House Ways and Means chair Rep. Charles B. Rangel (D-NY) is sifting through potential revenue-raisers to pay for a set of tax credit and deduction extensions expected to hit the House floor by or immediately after Memorial Day. A prime contender: offshore nonqualified deferred compensation, which would defray $23 billion. Less likely: "The carried interest is dead on arrival. Schumer killed the whole thing. I expect that he would do the same in the Senate — in a quiet way, behind the scenes — on Rangel's 'payfor,'" a lobbyist said.

War Supplemental -- House Looking for GI Bill Offsets: To get the House Blue Dog coalition to back a war supplemental spending bill, Democratic leadership is mulling its options to offset a $52 billion GI Bill expansion. CongressDaily reports ($) that one plan would involve closing the carried interest loophole.

Budget -- Resolution at Last; Deal Sealed: Senate Budget Committee chair Kent Conrad (D-ND) announced yesterday that budget resolution negotiators had reached a deal last Friday, but its terms were still under seal under conferees can be named and meet. The domestic discretionary topline is close to $1.012 trillion.

Tax Expenditures -- JCT Releases "Reconsideration": Yesterday, the Joint Committee on Taxation released an examination of federal tax expenditures -- $1 trillion in annual spending that goes relatively unnoticed, because it is comprised of tax credits, deductions, exemptions, exclusions, deferrals, and rate reductions not considered in the appropriations process. JCT's "Reconsideration".



Posted by Dana Chasin, 09:59:16 AM



Monday, May 12, 2008

Time for a Little Emergency Check

With Congress and President Bush entering negotiations over the next tranche of war funding, via an emergency supplemental appropriations bill, now is a good time for a little emergency check.

As the lead editorial in today's Washington Post, Not an Emergency, points out, "[f]ive years into paying for two wars, in Iraq and Afghanistan, it's outrageous that so much of the financing continues to be approved outside the normal budget process, through 'emergency' spending bills that must be passed, must be passed in a hurry..."

So, five years to the month after "mission accomplished," after half a trillion dollars in war spending through supplementals, maybe it's time to focus attention on a budget reform proposal that has been circulating in Washington for, well, at least five years. It seeks to end a practice, which, as we have said "obscures or distorts important aspects of the fiscal impact of federal spending and, therefore, undermines the general fiscal responsibility of the federal government."

This proposal would re-define "emergency" for supplemental appropriations purposes as:

  • an essential or vital expenditure, not one that is merely useful or beneficial
  • sudden—quickly coming into being, not building up over time
  • urgent—pressing and compelling, requiring immediate action
  • unforeseen—not predictable or seen beforehand as a coming need
  • not permanent—the need is temporary in nature

So, who has been issuing this salutary proposal again and again, year in, year out, while it falls on deaf ears in the rest of official Washington?

None other than... President Bush.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 04:19:45 PM



DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- May 12, 2008

With two weeks before the Memorial Day break, Congress will focus on a few key outstanding fiscal policy issues, foremost among them:

  • Budget Resolution -- Mind the Cap Gap: Senior congressional budget committee staffers say that if compromise is not reached and a budget resolution passed before the break, Congress will not have an FY09 budget. A small House-Senate discretionary spending cap gap -- about $1.5 billion -- remains to be resolved. OMBW Statement.

  • War Supplemental -- Domestic Content Dispute: President Bush has threatened to veto a war supplemental bill with any domestic spending content. Both the House and Senate supplemental bills have such content -- including a GI-style bill for Iraq war veterans and an unemployment benefits extension provision -- amid disagreement over what needs to comply with PAYGO, and how. WSJ Story.

Major fiscal policy items unlikely to see floor action until after the Memorial Day break:

  • Housing -- Will Lawmakers Hear about it Back Home?: The $2.7 billion mortgage refinance bill providing $300 billion in loan FHA guarantees, passed by the House last week, faces significant obstacles in the Senate and the administration. Its fate may be cast by what lawmakers hear from constituents about the issue during "district work" week at the end of the month. NYT Editorial.

  • Taxes -- AMT Patch and Popular Extenders: The House plans to address these two issues in two bills and, probably, to see that both are paid for -- and may act before Memorial Day. The Senate will act on a bill combining the issues, with 41 GOP Senators refusing to pay for them; Senate floor action isn't expected 'til June. Senate Bill Summary.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 09:58:19 AM



Friday, May 09, 2008

War Supplemental Update: Blue Dogs Balk at Waiving PAYGO for GI Bill Extension

Just when Democratic House leadership thought it was safe to bring a $183.6* billion war supplemental spending bill to the House floor for a vote, the Blue Dog coalition bares their teeth. We briefly mentioned yesterday that the coalition has expressed their displeasure that an expansion of college benefits for veterans would not be offset. By signaling that they would not support the rules package under which the war supp would be debated, they have induced Democratic leadership to find offsets, thus postponing a vote until at least next week.

The provision is question is know in the Senate as the Post 9/11 Veterans Educational Assistance Act of 2008 (S. 22), a bill introduced by Sen. Jim Webb (D-VA) and cosponsored by 57 senators. The CBO scored the bill as costing $40 million the first year, $680 million the second, and totalling almost $52 billion over ten years.

Blue Dogs' insistence on offsetting these costs has drawn the ire of the Out of Iraq Caucus. Rep. Maurice Hinchey (D-NY) was incredulous ($). "How can the Blue Dog Coalition possibly say that an expansion of education benefits is too costly when their votes to spend hundreds of billions of dollars to fight in Iraq violate the same pay-as-you-go rules they claim to so deeply respect? It's an inconsistent logic."

But, is Hinchey right to insist the Blue Dogs selectively apply PAYGO?

*That's the commonly-used dollar amount in press accounts. That number, however, does not include $11 billion for extended unemployment benefits (over 10 ten years) and $720 million for expanded GI Bill benefits (over 2 years). With those factored in, the bill would be about $200 billion



Continue reading...

Posted by Craig Jennings, 02:55:31 PM



DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- May 9, 2008

Housing -- House Passes Two Key Housing Bills: Yesterday, the House passed the first two bills to clear the chamber addressing the nation's housing sector crisis. The first, the Neighborhood Stabilization Act, which was adopted 239-188, establishes a $15 billion, HUD-administered loan and grant program for the purchase and rehabilitation of vacant, foreclosed homes. The second, an FHA mortgage refinance program providing up to $300 billion in loan guarantees at a cost of $1.7 billion over five years, passed 266-154. Bill Summary. Both bills face veto threats.

Farm Bill -- Compromise Reached but Bush Promises Veto: After months of negotiations, congressional leaders announced yesterday that they had concluded a compromise on H.R. 2419, providing a five-year farm policy measure with some reforms, including lowered income threshold for eligibility to receive farm payments and an optional crop revenue program. The final votes will be watched for the possibility of an override of a veto promised by President Bush. Story.

Infrastructure -- CBO Chief Doubts Stimulus Value: Peter Orszag, director of the Congressional Budget Office, said yesterday that it was unclear how quickly federal infrastructure projects could provide a boost to the economy, as some lawmakers have suggested, because they can often have lengthy planning and permitting stages. "How quickly, if you're going to spend $100 on this project, what share of that $100 will you get out the door rapidly?" he asked at a joint hearing of the House Budget Committee and the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee. Testimony and Charts.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 09:12:34 AM



Thursday, May 08, 2008

DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- May 8, 2008

War Supplemental -- Blue Dogs Hold Line on PAYGO: Frustrating House Democratic leadership efforts to bring to a vote on the $183.6 billion war supplemental spending bill to the House floor today, the Blue Dog coalition is balking at supporting the rules under which the bill would be considered. Their concern is that a measure to increase GI Bill funding violates pay-as-you-go rules, because it would be a new entitlement not be offset by revenue increases or spending decreases.

Taxes -- Senate Dems Push Windfall Profits Tax on Big Oil: Yesterday, Senate Democrats unveiled legislation that would levy a new 25 percent tax on major oil-producing companies that do not reinvest their profits in increased capacity or renewable energy technologies and repeal a tax deduction provided to them as manufacturers of oil and gas products. The Consumer-First Energy Act would use the revenues from the 25 percent "Windfall Profits Tax" for new consumer price protections, and renewable energy development and energy efficiency technologies. The repeal of the Section 199 manufacturing tax credit for the five largest oil and gas companies would raise $17 billion over 10 years to pay for the energy independence trust fund.

Taxes -- New York Senate Adopts Gas Tax Holiday: The New York State Senate approved a bill yesterday that would create a "summer gas tax holiday" by eliminating three state taxes on motor fuel. The bill would suspend 32 cents per gallon in taxes from Memorial Day through Labor Day. While the bill passed the Republican-controlled Senate by a vote of 46-15, it is expected to die in the Democratic-controlled state Assembly. Sen. Liz Krueger (D), an opponent of the bill, said it was "obviously meant to prey on the desperate need for relief of New York's suffering drivers."

Posted by Dana Chasin, 10:13:17 AM



Wednesday, May 07, 2008

DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- May 7, 2008

Budget -- Conferees Converge on Compromise, per Conrad: Senate Budget Chairman Kent Conrad (D-ND) said yesterday that FY09 budget resolution negotiators have only one remaining issue to resolve —— the level of discretionary spending for fiscal 2009 —— before reaching an accord. He said said the difference in discretionary spending between the House and Senate fiscal 2009 budget resolutions is about $1.8 billion now, down from a $4 billion gap at the outset. Background on Budget Debate.

Housing -- CBO Releases Frank Bill Cost Estimate: The Congressional Budget Office has released its long-awaited cost estimate of H.R. 5830, the FHA Housing Stabilization and Homeownership Retention Act of 2008, the bill introduced by House Financial Services Committee chair Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA) to create a voluntary FHA mortgage refinance program. The full House will consider the bill today. CBO's estimate of the bill's five-year cost: $2.7 billion.

Supplemental Schedule -- House Vote, Senate Mark-Up Ahead: House Democratic leaders have signaled possible floor action tomorrow on a supplemental appropriations bill that would provide $108.1 billion in fiscal 2008 and $70 billion in 2009 war funding and includes extended unemployment benefits and new education benefits for veterans, upping the price tag above Bush's target. The Senate Appropriations Committee announced plans to mark up its own version of the supplemental tomorrow. CBS News.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 09:59:59 AM



Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Fed Chief's Opinions on Foreclosure Remedies Differ from Frank Bill Oponents

Congressional opposition to the Frank housing bill is coalescing around apparently dubious propositions ($).

[Antonia Ferrier, spokeswoman for House Minority Whip Roy Blunt (R-MO)] also took aim at the [Rep. Barney] Frank proposal. "This bill perversely rewards those who borrowed more than they could afford — their monthly mortgage payments get reduced with the government footing the bill. How is that fair to the millions of Americans who worked hard and paid their mortgages on time? And who ends up holding the bag if all goes south? No surprise, the American taxpayer."

Meanwhile, economist and Fed Chief Ben Bernanke provides an "expert" opinion:

"High rates of delinquency and foreclosure can have substantial spillover effects on the housing market, the financial markets and the broader economy," [Federal Reserve Chairman Ben] Bernanke said Monday..."Therefore, doing what we can to avoid preventable foreclosures is not just in the interest of lenders and borrowers. It's in everybody's interest," he said.

...

The current housing crises has clobbered some borrowers home prices dropped. That left them with mortgages that are bigger than the value of their home. When that's the primary problem, Bernanke said the best solution may be reducing the amount that the borrower owes on the loan or some other permanent modification to the loan.

Fine. Helping distressed homeowners can help everyone. But surely we cannot stand in the way of the the almighty market! That would be disaster.

Republican talking points obtained by Roll Call also suggested housing prices must fall further rather than be propped up by a new government program, an argument also made by [Sen. Richard Shelby (R-AL)] Shelby.

"The correction in the housing market is a necessary reaction to a prolonged period of reckless lending and borrowing practices that helped take housing prices to levels that were simply unsustainable. For the market to stabilize, prices will need to return to levels that ordinary Americans can afford," the talking points read.

Or not.

Rising foreclosures add to the glut of unsold homes and that put more downward pressure on prices, aggravating the housing slump, he said. More rapid declines in house prices could have an "adverse impact" on the broader economy and the stability of the financial system, [Bernanke] said.

Photo by Flickr user msabcmom used under a Creative Commons license



Posted by Craig Jennings, 03:11:23 PM



DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- May 6, 2008

War Supplemental -- Appropriators Seek Mark-Ups: On both the House and Senate side, senior Appropriations Committee members have asked, or demanded, that mark-ups be held of the president's "emergency" supplemental war funding requests, as is the usual practice. Rep. Jerry Lewis (CA), the ranking House Appropriations Republican: "Never in my 30 years in Congress has there been such an abuse of the processes and rules of the House. We... demand that this polluted, back-door scheme be brought to a halt, and that we return to a proper, fair and transparent appropriations process." Story. Senate Appropriations Committee chair Robert Byrd (D-WV) announced last week that he planned to hold a markup of the supplemental this week. But none has been scheduled yet. Background on Supplemental Procedure.

Taxes -- Gas Tax Holiday a Non-Starter in Congress: It's being discussed today in Indianapolis, Hickory, West Lafayette, Raleigh, and Gary, but not in D.C. Per CQ, when Senate Democrats unveil an energy package later this week, it is not expected to contain a gas tax holiday, said a Senate Democratic aide. "It's a nothing burger. It's not even part of the discussions," the aide said. Many economists, including at least four Nobel Prize winners, have called it bad economic policy.

GSA's Doan -- 'I Lost the Battle': She fought the law and didn't win. In an interview within a week of her departure from her post as General Services Adinistration chief, Lurita Doan recounts her struggles with the bureaucracy, the media, Congress, and the law. After being fired by the White House last week following a 22-month scandal-plagued tenure at GSA, she concludes: "I am proud that I don't play by the rules of Washington." Interview.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 09:52:43 AM



Monday, May 05, 2008

DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- May 5, 2008

Taxes -- Americans Split on Gas Tax Holiday: Today's New York Times carries the results of a poll in which "Americans were divided over the merits of the gasoline-tax suspension, which has also been backed by the presumptive Republican nominee, Senator John McCain, and condemned by Mr. Obama as political gimmickry." Meanwhile, the Senate Democratic Leadership is planning to unveil a gas price plan, with the notable omission of a "gas tax holiday." Times Survey.

War Supplemental -- Bush Submits $70bn FY09 Request: On Friday, President Bush formally submitted his request to Congress for $66 billion for the Defense Department and $4 bill for the State Department for ongoing military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan. The money would be available to the next president, obviating the need for him or her to submit a request for war spending soon after entering office; but it would also commit moneys that the new leader might have sought to dedicate to some other purpose. Behind the Scenes.

Housing -- Floor Vote on Frank Plan: The plan introduced by Financial Services Committee chair Barney Frank (D-MA) and adopted by the committee last week to provide up to $300 billion in mortgage refinance guarantees is currently slated to come up for a vote by the full House on Wednesday. While the administration has taken no definitive position on the bill, Frank is attaching to his bill, two "sweeteners" -- an FHA mortgage insurance overhaul and revamped oversight of GSEs Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac -- to woo the White House. The Foreclosure Capital.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 10:02:30 AM



Friday, May 02, 2008

DAILY FISCAL POLICY REPORT -- May 2, 2008

Economy -- Jobless Rate Drops from 5.1 to 5.0 Percent: The economy lost only 20,000 jobs, far fewer than in recent months, and the unemployment rate fell from 5.1 to 5.0 percent in April. Roughly 250,000 jobs were lost in the first quarter of the year. Construction companies slashed 61,000 positions in April. Manufacturers cut 46,000 and retailers got rid of 27,000. Those losses were eclipsed by job gains in education and health care, professional and business services, the government and elsewhere. Bloomberg.

Budget Resolution -- Spratt Says Conference Report Imminent: On the strength of this week's Blue Dog Coalition decision not to insist on an AMT/PAYGO reconciliation instruction, House Budget Committee chair Rep. John Spratt (D-SC) said yesterday that "[t]he single most significant [budget resolution] issue remaining is NDD, non-defense discretionary spending. There's a difference between us of about $3.6 billion... If we don't have [a budget] done by the end of next week it will be [early] the following week." Most observers had been pessimistic as recently as this week, with one notable exception.

"Gas Tax Holiday is DOA" -- The Hill: House Democratic leaders have made clear that the gas tax holiday proposal is dead on arrival in that chamber. In explaining why she plans to omit the idea from the energy package that she may try to add to the supplemental Iraq war-spending bill, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) said "there's no reason to believe that any moratorium on the gas tax would be passed on to the consumer." UPI Story.



Posted by Dana Chasin, 10:18:54 AM




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