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Home :  Federal Budget & Tax : 
Federal Budget & Tax:      News     Blog     Background    



Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Splitting Hairs at the Chamber of Commerce

Craig's post this morning on the issue of corporate taxes made me dig through my files to pull up another Government Accountability Office (GAO) report I remember seeing last month about corporate tax compliance. In July the GAO released a report entitled "Businesses Owe Billions in Federal Payroll Taxes," which found, among other things, that businesses owed billions in federal payroll taxes. From the report:

IRS records show that, as of September 30, 2007, over 1.6 million businesses owed over $58 billion in unpaid federal payroll taxes, including interest and penalties. Of that amount, 70 percent of all unpaid payroll taxes are owed by businesses with more than a year (4 tax quarters) of unpaid federal payroll taxes, and over a quarter of unpaid payroll taxes were owed by businesses that accumulated tax debt for more than 3 years (12 tax quarters). Some of these businesses took advantage of the existing tax enforcement and administration system to avoid fulfilling or paying federal tax obligations-thus abusing the federal tax system.

Yikes. That sounds pretty bad. But it gets worse:

GAO selected 50 businesses with payroll tax debt as case studies and found extensive evidence of abuse and potential criminal activity in relation to the federal tax system. The business owners or officers in our case studies diverted payroll tax funds for their own benefit or to help fund business operations. (emphasis added)

While I think Chamber of Commerce spokesman Martin Regalia would be hard pressed to come to the defense of these companies, OMB Watch has larger fish to fry. While the tax evasion and cheating carried out by the 1.6 million companies as detailed in this report is bad criminal unpatriotic vile, what might be worse is the poor tax enforcement system at the IRS that allowed them to not only get away with it once, but get away with it year after year after year.

Although IRS has powerful tools at its disposal to prevent the further accumulation of unpaid payroll taxes and to collect the taxes that are owed, IRS's current approach does not provide for their full, effective use. IRS's overall approach to collection focuses primarily on gaining voluntary compliance-even for egregious payroll tax offenders-a practice that can result in minimal or no actual collections for these offenders. Additionally, IRS has not always promptly filed liens against businesses to protect the government's interests and has not always taken timely action to hold responsible parties personally liable for unpaid payroll taxes.

Hmmm...the IRS doesn't do a good job of collecting taxes. Not really news - we've been saying that for months. But I wonder if the Chamber will be promoting the findings of this report as fervorently as they did the one on corporate tax liabilities. I'm guessing they won't.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 02:59:31 PM



Monday, August 25, 2008

CBO: Updated Social Security Projections

Last week the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released a new report with updated long-term projections for Social Security. This report is a follow up to the last projections for Social Security released by CBO back in December, 2007. CBO Director Peter Orszag blogged last week on improvements made in this updated report:

The projections released today differ somewhat from earlier results because of newly available programmatic and economic data, updated assumptions about future demographic and economic trends, and improvements in CBO's models. For example, these projections assume that future immigrants will be younger and more numerous than was assumed in 2007. (This change was included in the 2008 Social Security trustees' report; CBO adopts the trustees' aggregate demographic assumptions.) As a result of this and other changes, CBO projects somewhat smaller future deficits than we did in our 2007 projections.

This report, while not focused on this issue, continues to show the crux of our long-term fiscal problem lies elsewhere - namely in rapidly rising health care services delivered through an inefficient system.

CBO: Updated Long-Term Projections for Social Security

Commentary and Analysis
EconomistMom: Useful Lessons from CBO's New Report on Social Security
EPI: Social Security — government report shows healthy program for decades
Andrew Biggs: Treatment of uncertainty in new CBO Social Security projections
Dean Baker: The Washington Post War On Social Security Continues



Posted by Adam Hughes, 03:01:56 PM



Taxing and Spending

Brad DeLong has a great post on the tradeoffs we face in bringing the long-term budget into balance.

Note that [raising revenue] is not optional. As the late Milton Friedman liked to put it: to spend is to tax. If the government buys things, it must get the money to buy them from somewhere. It can get the money from three places. It can tax. It can borrow--but then the borrowing has to be repaid with interest, and the more is borrowed the higher the interest and the worse the value the taxpayers ultimately get for their money when they are taxed to repay the borrowing. Or it can print the money and so inflate the currency--but that too is a tax, and an especially unfair, painful, and destructive one, as lots and lots of people victimized by inflation find their wealth doesn't buy what it used to and what they expected.

As economists estimate, the long-term budget faces in a very significant fiscal gap that must be closed, and, as Brad plainly states, whoever tells you that increasing revenue is not necessary is selling you something.

(h/t Matthew Yglesias)

Image by Flickr user DennisSylvesterHurd used under a Creative Commons license



Posted by Craig Jennings, 01:36:42 PM



Tuesday, August 19, 2008

The Best Laid Plans

Over on Capital Gains and Games (a favorite blog of the Budget Brigade), budget guru Stan Collender and Pete Davis muse, in a couple of posts, on the presidential candidates' budget plans. They emphasize the point that, as much as they may want to implement deficit-increasing tax and/or expenditure plans, the market may have other plans.

First, Collender reminds us that in the post-Reagan world, economic policy options were limited.

The bond market "vigilantes" -- the same people who forced the Clinton administration to propose and push for deficit reduction -- are starting to say that the moon, stars, and planets may line up again in 2009 to force the next president to do the same thing.

In a follow-up post, Davis explains how large, persistent deficits impact the economy. This may give the next president pause (Davis hopes) and put the kibosh on his plans.

High real interest rates choked off recovery from the 1980 recession until early 1983, and real growth turned down again in 1986, but stopped short of a recession. The first chart [shown] also shows the "neutral real rate" required to keep the economy at full production. With the credit crisis, it has moved negative, where it remains today. It will take us at least another year or two to come out of our economic "slowdown," and rising interest rates could easily choke that recovery off.


Posted by Craig Jennings, 11:29:36 AM



Friday, August 15, 2008

The $18 Trillion Mortgage

BudgetBlog reader and national debt aficionado Brooke A. fired up Excel (or maybe even OpenOffice.org Calc?) and calculated what a 30-year mortgage would look like on a $9.5 trillion loan -- a loan principle equal to today's national debt.

So, if the government stopped borrowing today and began making monthly installments on the national debt over 30 years, the monthly payment would be $51 billion -- that's $612 billion annually. In the first year of repayment, interest costs would equal $471.8 billion. And the cost to service the debt over the life of the mortgage would be some $8.9 trillion, bringing the total amount to pay off the national debt to $18.3 trillion.

Oy.

Get the national debt amortizationn spreadsheet here.



Posted by Craig Jennings, 04:56:55 PM



The Greater of Two Evils

I posted on Tuesday this week about a new report from the Government Accountability Office that shows a significant number of corporations are playing fast and loose with their U.S. tax liabilities. Giving further evidence that the BudgetBlog is where it is at, I got a call from a reporter (Carolyn Said) at the San Francisco Chronicle within ten minutes of posting my blog. She was working on a story about the GAO report. I was quoted in her well-written story (see Most U.S. firms paid no taxes over 7-year span) as were many other fine analysts and experts.

One quote in particular was from William Ahern, spokesman for The Tax Foundation, a Washington, DC nonpartisan tax research group with a conservative perspective on taxes. Mr. Ahern said that there was nothing wrong with corporations employing armies of accountants and lawyers to exploit every possible tax loophole. Specifically, he said:

In that respect, they are just like individuals. Don't we all fill out our tax returns as aggressively as we know how and take every deduction and credit we're entitled to, even if they're unprincipled, even if they're in the tax code only because Congress thinks we will appreciate them for subsidizing us?

Now my disagreements with some of the perspectives of the fine folks at The Tax Foundation aside, I couldn't agree with Mr. Ahern more when he says corporations can behave just as illegally opportunistically as individuals. In fact, sometimes they work together. Case in point is an AP story that also appeared in the San Fran Chronicle a few weeks ago (mea culpa from the Budget Brigade for missing this story). Seems the U.S. Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations issued a report in July identifying two European banks of assisting wealthy Americans evade U.S. taxes. The two banks, UBS of Switzerland and LGT of Liechtenstein, are part of a larger infrastructure that "aggressively" evades U.S. tax laws, either by exploiting loopholes or just by outright cheating - to the tune of $100 billion annually. Yup, that's $100,000,000,000 each year!

The gut-wrenching horror of this entire situation is that we don't need to figure out whether individuals or corporations are to blame. They both are! These banks are exploiting excessively secretive international finance laws, "aggressively" recruiting wealthy Americans to go to pretty much any lengths to intentionally break U.S. tax laws, and our fellow citizens are going along with it. Patriotism just isn't what it used to be. (btw, you can read the subcommittee report, see documents from a subcommittee hearing on the issue, and even watch archived footage (real player format) of the hearing.)

In case that hasn't made you lose your appetite completely, this will. Ellen Miller at the Sunlight Foundation points us to a Washington Post story from last week that details the large increase in political contributions from UBS's PAC and top executives, and other key figures of the Senate investigation, during the 2008 election cycle. Ellen Miller:

The Post article states that officials with the banks have given more than $2 million this year, $98,000 in June alone, to congressional and presidential campaigns. USB spends close to $1 million a year on lobbying and is traditionally a big campaign giver. But so far this cycle the Swiss bank's contributions have surpassed what it gave in the whole 2006 election cycle. The Post quotes a bank spokesperson as saying the bank's giving is in no way related to the Senate investigation. The article didn't say, however, whether it was said with a straight face.

No, thanks. No dessert for me. I'm full.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 10:14:06 AM



Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Looking for Top Notch Interns!

The OMB Watch Fiscal Policy Program is looking for an intern for the fall of 2008. Yup, that's right. This is your chance to get in on the ground floor at one of the most dynamic nonprofit watchdog groups in Washington, DC. We're looking for energetic undergraduate or graduate students who have excellent writing, critical thinking, and communications skills, and who are dedicated to public policy and government accountability (see current intern Josh at right for example).

The internship is unpaid, but you'll have the chance to gain first hand experiences and take on significant responsibilities related to a number of different aspects of policy analysis in DC. Plus, you'll get a chance to write for the BudgetBlog - what could be better?

Interested? Learn more about the position and how to apply.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 05:56:02 PM



Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Corporate Tax Evasion and Transfer Pricing

What We Can Say and What We Can't

The Government Accountability Office (GAO) released a new report today showing that an average of two-thirds of companies operating in the United States paid no federal corporate income tax from 1998 - 2005. That's right, I said none. Zip. Zero. Nada.

The report was requested by Sens. Byron Dorgan (D-ND) and Carl Levin (D-MI) as a follow up to a similar report GAO did in 2004 in which they found similar levels of tax liability reported on corporate tax returns from 1996 through 2000. In fact, in 2004, GAO found that domestically controlled companies and foreign controlled companies "reported tax liabilities of less than 5 percent of their total income, an estimated 94 percent and 89 percent, respectively, in 2000." Wow. Upwards of 90 percent of companies paid at most 5 percent in federal income taxes in 2000, despite the corporate income tax rate being 35 percent.

While you digest that little tidbit (or maybe choke on it), let me tell you about transfer pricing, which is at the heart of these GAO reports and a long time thorn in the side of Sens. Dorgan and Levin, who I guess think corporations should pay taxes.

Read more about transfer prices

Posted by Adam Hughes, 04:43:39 PM



Thursday, August 07, 2008

CBO Releases Monthly Budget Review

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released their monthly budget review this morning. CBO Director Peter Orszag blogged on the release of the review on the CBO Director's Blog:

CBO estimates that for the first 10 months of fiscal year 2008, the federal budget deficit was about $371 billion—$213 billion more than the deficit recorded over the same period in 2007. While revenues were about 1 percent lower than in the same period last year, outlays over the same period have grown by almost 9 percent. CBO estimates that the federal budget deficit for fiscal year 2008 will be in the vicinity of $400 billion, close to the amount we projected last March after accounting for proposed supplemental appropriations.

CBO estimates that a deficit of $102 billion was recorded for ythe month of July, about $65 billion more than recorded in July 2007; approximately $14 billion of that increase was due to rebate payments resulting from the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008. Receipts were about $5 billion lower than those in July 2007; without the rebates, receipts would have been up by 2 percent. Outlays in July were $61 billion higher than in the same month last year; about $21 billion of that difference was the result of calendar-related shifts in the timing of certain payments. Another major factor contributing to the increase was the $15 billion disbursed in July 2008 by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to cover insured deposits at failed financial institutions; much of that cost should be recovered in the future as the FDIC liquidates the assets held by those institutions and collects higher insurance premiums.

CBO: Monthly Budget Review



Posted by Adam Hughes, 11:16:59 AM



Wednesday, August 06, 2008

Is Less Really More in Congress?

Most of the popular/mainstream commentaries about Congress is that they don't their jobs - that they need to do more for the American people. We certainly have been highly critical of Congress for repeatedly not getting enough work done during the year by repeatedly failing to pass the most basic legislation that is required of them - the annual budget resolution and appropriations bills (see here, here, and here).

Which is why a post by Jim Harper over on Cato's blog caught my eye the other day. According to Harper, Congress introduced its 10,000th bill on July 30, right before they skipped town for the August recess. The 110th Congress is on pace to break the all-time record for number of bills introduced (10,537) set by the 109th Congress from 2005-2006.

The current Congress is on pace to easily beat the record 10,537 bills introduced in the 109th Congress. In the 109th (2005-2006), the 10,000th bill was introduced on September 18th, well after the August recess.

The number of bills introduced in each Congress has been rapidly increasing over the last twelve years. In the 104th Congress (1995-1996), there were 6,542 bills introduced. In the 105th (1997-1998), 7,529. The 106th (1999-2000), 107th (2001-2002), and 108th (2003-2004) saw bill introductions in the high 8,000s, and in the 109th (2005-2006), the number of bills first pierced through 10,000.

So, if I'm doing my math right, and I like to think I am, the number of bills introduced by Congress has increased 61 percent since the 104th Congress in 1995/1996. Yet there haven't been any additional members of Congress over that period - it's still 535 (plus 5 territorial representatives). So, one way of looking at it is that our legislators have increased their output from 12.11 bills per session to 19.51 bills per session. Talk about getting your money's worth for all you political contributors out there.

Yet the timeliness and quality of the bills Congress actually enacts has sharply decreased during that time. Congress hasn't enacted all of the annual appropriations bills on time since 1994 and as a country we're in more debt now than ever before, having added $4.23 trillion to the national debt in just the last 8 years. It seems this is a situation where less really is more.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 02:48:33 PM



Tuesday, August 05, 2008

State Budget Woes Continue

The fiscal health of states around the country is continuing to deteriorate, according to an updated report from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. CBPP has issued updates to this report, initially released on January 15 this year, as state legislatures have attempted to deal with their budget shortfalls during the FY 2009 state budget process. This will be the last update of this report as only two states are left without an enacted FY 2009 budget.

The latest update from CBPP notes that 29 states and the District of Columbia had to deal with budget gaps this year, totaling $48 billion. The CBPP report summarizes their research findings:

  • Over half of the states have faced problems with their FY2009 budgets.
  • The 29 states in which revenues were expected to fall short of the amount needed to support current services in fiscal year 2009 are Alabama, Arkansas, Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Vermont, Virginia, and Wisconsin. In addition, the District of Columbia closed a shortfall in fiscal year 2009. The budget gaps totaled $47.6 to $49.2 billion, averaging 9.3 percent to 9.7 percent of these states' general fund budgets. (See Table 1.) California — the nation's largest state — faced the largest budget gap. The shortfalls that states other than California faced averaged 6.2 percent to 6.7 percent of these states' general fund budgets.
  • Analysts in three other states — Missouri, Texas, and Washington — are projecting budget gaps a little further down the road, in FY2010 and beyond.

This brings the total number of states identified as facing budget gaps to 32 — close to two-thirds of all states. Most states have addressed the FY2009 budget gaps identified here. However, new budget gaps in these and other states are likely to develop as state revenue forecasts are updated during the year.



Posted by Adam Hughes, 05:01:10 PM




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